Sector View on Indian Steel Industry

KRChoksey Shares & Securities on TATA STEEL

The company’s EBITDA has increased by 43.68% Y-o-Y from Rs 2,733.4 cr to Rs 3,075.9 cr. While PAT has increased to 50.13% from Rs 1,488.4 cr to Rs 1787.8 cr. Other income has also increased by 152.72% which has led to increase in the profit margins. We recommend a buy on the stock despite the growth concerns purely on the basis of attractive valuations.

KRChoksey Shares & Securities on SAIL

SAIL’s net sales increased 34% Y-o-Y to Rs 12,238.59 crore in Q2FY09 as against Rs 916 3.49 crore during Q2Y08. EBITDAof the company registered a growth of 17% Y-o-Y to Rs 3,433.92 crore & PAT rose by 18% Y-o-Y to Rs 2,009.6 crore. The second half of FY09 is expected to present significant challenges in the metals sector, though the long term fundamentals of the company remains strong.

Geojit Financial Services on JSW STEEL

The company is among the largest Indian steel companies. It has now tied up with UK based Severfield Rowen to float an equal stake joint venture company for manufacturing construction steel. The net profit of the company has grown 44.72% from the June quarter to this September quarter. The P/E of the stock is 3.43 and the EPS (TTM) is at 70.89.

Geojit Financial Services on WELSPUN GUJARAT STAHL

Welspun Gujarat Stahl Rohren is the flagship company of Welspun Group. It is all set to be positioned as the world’s largest pipe company with an increase in capacity from 1 million ton pa to 1.75 million ton by March 2009. The debt-equity ratio at 1.21 shows that most of the assets are financed and it must set aside more money to pay the cost of borrowed money.

Emkay Global Financial Services on HEG

HEG will become number one manufacturer of graphite electrodes in India after its expansion from 60000 tpa to 80000 tpa by Q4FY09. We expect topline and PAT to have CAGR of 37% and 25% respectively for next two years. It is trading at 5.9x FY09E FDEPS of Rs21.2 and at 2.6x FY10E FDEPS of Rs48.8.

Emkay Global Financial Services on GODAWARI POWER AND ISPAT

Godawari Power’s iron ore pelletisation will commence in 2HFY10 while the iron ore mining will start from Q4FY09 which will translate into tremendous savings. PAT is expected to grow at CAGR of 47% GPIL trading at 1.6x FY09E FDEPS of Rs40.2 and at 0.8x FY10E FDEPS of Rs76.6, while on EV/EBITDA basis it is trading at 2.4x FY09E EV/EBITDA and at 1.2x FY10E EV/EBITDA.

Sector View on Indian Hotel Industry

ICICI Securities on EAST INDIA HOTELS (EIH)
EIH recorded 7.8% growth in its revenues, which is in line with our expected revenue of Rs 241.5 crore for Q2FY09, led by better performance of its Mumbai (Trident and Oberoi) and Delhi properties. Combined together, these two properties account for nearly 71% of its owned room base. We expect EIH’s revenues to continue to grow in FY09E and FY10E once its BKC project starts operation by Q3FY09 end.

Indiabulls Securities on INDIAN HOTELS

IHCL has hotels across various segments and geographies. However, there is a growing trend towards mid- and lower-priced hotels, which are comparatively less susceptible to the fall in the occupancy rate and the ARRs. It has planned aggressive capacity expansions for its Ginger Hotels chain, and has launched the Gateway brand, which is positioned between Ginger and ICHL’s luxury chain.

PINC Research on TAJGVK HOTELS & RESORTS

While we like TajGVK Hotels and Resorts’ business model on account of its diverse product portfolio and ability to leverage its offerings to maximise revenues, we believe that the ongoing turmoil in the global economy will lead to a clampdown in discretionary spending, by both corporates and individuals. This has the potential to impact revenues and profits.

ICICI Securities on HOTEL LEELA

Hotel Leela currently operates 1,115 rooms. The company has plans to add a further 1,486 rooms over the next four years. This expansion involves a project cost of around Rs 2,000cr. However, due to the current global financial market turmoil, liquidity crunch and expected sluggish demand for premium rooms, its project execution may get delayed in cities like Pune, Hyderabad and Chennai.

KRChoksey Shares and Securities on KAMAT HOTELS

It is one of the major mid-sized players in the Indian hotel industry. It is charting an expansion plan in the western regions of the country. It is expected to increase its owned and managed room base from 755 in FY08 to around 2,500 in FY10E. With an expected EPS of Rs 27 in FY10E, the stock is available at a P/E of 1.55 and a P/B of less than 0.4.

KRChoksey Shares and Securities on VICEROY HOTELS

The stock shows promise due to its advanced project pipeline. The room base is expected to triple by FY10. It has franchisee agreement with Marriot International. The company is expanding its geographical reach. It is also successfully tapping the huge opportunity in the F&B space though its restaurant business. Viceroy Hotels currently trades at 4x FY10E Rs 6.45 EPS. It looks attractive at a P/B of 0.48.