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Wednesday, November 25, 2009

GSPL

THE Gujarat government-controlled Gujarat State Petronet (GSPL) has outperformed the benchmark Sensex by more than three times since mid-July 2009. The scrip is up 75.7% in the past three months compared to the 25% rise in the Sensex during the period. The company is currently valued at 19.2 times its profits for the past 12 months.

This better-than-expected performance has been attributed to a spurt in GSPL’s financial numbers following the commissioning of new pipelines and new supply contracts. The company registered a 147% jump in its June 2009 quarter profit and a growth of 288% in the September 2009 quarter. The company doubled its revenues in this period on the back of doubling its gas volumes. This performance is expected to be repeated in the second half of FY10 also.

Particularly so, as the company had witnessed a fall in natural gas volumes in the corresponding period of last year due to the crash in naphtha prices.

GSPL’s board of directors as well as its shareholders had approved a contribution of 30% of its pre-tax profits to the Gujarat Socio Economic Development Society in FY09. However, the company did not make any provisions as no project was identified. The society also could not obtain a registration with income-tax authorities. The possibility of such a contribution will continue to remain a major concern for the company’s shareholders in future.

GSPL’s recently-published results for the September 2009 quarter were remarkable as its operating margins nearly doubled during the period. However, the spurt was mainly on account of writeback of excess provisions for salary hikes and hence, such high level of margins appear unsustainable.

The company, which currently operates 1,280 km of gas pipelines, plans to double its network to connect all 25 districts of Gujarat in coming few years. Low debt level, strong operating margins and high cash generation capacity are big positives. However, the distribution of 30% of its pre-tax profits for social services could play spoilsport.

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