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Thursday, July 9, 2009

Stock views on BPCL, Bharti Airtel, Glenmark Pharma

Indiabulls Securities on BPCL, target of Rs 526

"With crude oil prices hovering at around $ 70 per barrel levels, we expect the under-recoveries for PDS kerosene and domestic LPG to escalate further. However, the recent price hike in petrol and diesel prices should provide some respite to the Company. At its current market price the stock trades at a forward P/E of 8.6x and 8.3x for FY10E and FY11E, respectively. We have revised our estimates to consider the recent developments in the sector. Based on our valuation, we have arrived at a target fair value of Rs 526, which provides an upside potential of 15.9% from the CMP. Thus, we upgrade our rating for the stock to Buy," says Indiabulls Securities' research report.

IIFL on Bharti Airtel, target of Rs 866

"In our view, the Bharti–MTN deal is driven more by strategic considerations than by synergies. In a world where giants such as Apple and Google are invading the telco space, size will be key. Nevertheless, an analysis of savings / synergy opportunities in the proposed Bharti–MTN deal suggests that Bharti can have a gain of almost USD 3 billion. Our key assumptions are based on measures attributable to Bharti’s involvement, over and above MTN’s own cost reduction measures. These include estimates of opex and capex savings in MTN and capex savings in Bharti. We consider opex savings in Bharti attributable to this deal unlikely. The proposed deal (as the terms stand now) is not significantly earnings dilutive for Bharti even without considering synergies. Hence, we are in no hurry to reduce our TP (Rs 866); we retain 'BUY', " says IIFL's research report.

KRChoksey on Glenmark Pharma; target of Rs 252

"The topline of the company has shown a decline of 10% y-o-y to Rs 491.1 crore whereas on q-o-q basis the company reported a decline of 11%. The fall in sales was due to absence of licensing income during the quarter as compared to Rs 61.0 crore in the corresponding pervious period. Excluding licensing income, the base business declined by 4%. Dip in the base business is due to factors like fewer ANDA approval, destocking in the regions like Latin America & Russia, currency impact in Latin America & Russia and price erosion of Glyptal. Going forward, we expect the revenues to improve on back of improved performance from Glenmark generics, specialty formulation and Indian formulation business."

"We maintain our optimistic view on the company supported by the consolidation from the acquisitions (like Actavis), revenue contribution from the new launches and increasing number of approvals from USFDA which would strengthen the earnings visibility of the company, Buy, target of Rs 252.2," says KRChoksey's report.

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