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Friday, August 29, 2008

Karvy views on Ambuja Cements, Andhra Bank, Bank of India, Shree Cements, PVR

Buy PVR, target of Rs 260

Karvy Stock Broking has maintained its buy rating on PVR with a revised target price of Rs 260 in its August 8, 2008 research report. "PVR declared its 1Q FY09 results which were above our expectations. Net sales grew by 10.4% YoY as against our estimates of a 0.4% in 1Q FY09. This was majorly on account of higher than expected income from advertising and royalty. The net profit for 1Q FY09 declined by 35.3% YoY and grew by 43.7% QoQ as against our expectations of a decline of 61.7% YoY and decline of 14.8% QoQ."

"Considering the foray of PVR into new and promising businesses of production & distribution and lifestyle entertainment and subsequent de-risking of the exhibition business we believe that PVR will emerge as one of the better and stronger players in the multiplex industry. We have valued PVR at 13x FY10E earnings and 1.1x FY2010 sales. Subsequently, we have increased our price estimate on the company from Rs 230 to Rs 260 maintaining our BUY rating on the stock at current levels," says Karvy's research report.

Buy Shree Cements, target of Rs 733

Karvy Stock Broking has recommended a buy rating on Shree Cements with a target price of Rs 733 in its July 16, 2008 research report. "We expect net sales for the quarter ended June'08 would increase by 44.1% yoy to Rs 6.13bn driven by 26.6% growth in despatches and 11.2% growth in realization."

"SCL is currently trading at PER of 5.6x and EV/EBIDTA multiple of 3.3x on FY10E earnings. We had valued the ICL on 4x FY10E EV/EBIDTA and rate the company as BUY with price target of Rs 733," says Karvy's research report.

Buy Bank of India, target Rs 443

Karvy research has maintained buy rating on Bank of India with target price of Rs 443 in its July 17, 2008 report. "In 1st Q FY09, BoI's advances and deposits are expected to grow at 35% and 32% (Y-o-Y); the volume-led growth would result into 32% (Y-o-Y) jump in NII to Rs 12.5 billion. Estimated 24% growth in total other income on the back of fee-income growth and cost containment would lead to 36% growth in operating profit before provisions. Strain on net interest margin, significant de-growth treasury income and higher investment depreciation provisions of Rs 850 million would result in the bank's bottomline grow by 25% (Y-o-Y) to Rs 3.96 billion. The current stock price discounts FY2010 adjusted book value at 0.97x; we rate the stock as a BUY with a price target of Rs 443 at 1.88x adjusted book value FY2010" according to Karvy report.

Buy Andhra Bank, target Rs 108

Karvy research has maintained buy rating on Andhra Bank with target prie of Rs 108 in its July 17, 2008 report. "In 1st Q FY09, we assume that the Andhra Bank's advances and deposits would grow by 24% and 26.3% (Y-o-Y). The bank's net interest income (NII) would grow marginally by 2.5% (Y-o-Y) to Rs 3.7 billion and operating profit before provisions would grow by 6.3% (Y-o-Y) to Rs 2.37 billion. Higher depreciation provisions on investments of Rs 550 million would led to 18.8% (Y-o-Y) decline in net profit to 1.14 billion. Strain on net interest margin would be due to lower CASA share, higher cost of funds and lower yield on advances. We expect healthy growth in total fee income but treasury income could report degrowth. Total net income is expected to grow by 5.6% (Y-o-Y) to Rs 5.0 billion. At current market price, the stock is available at 0.65x ABV FY2010; we rate the stock as a BUY with a price target of Rs 108 at 1.34x adjusted book value FY2010" according to Karvy report.

Ambuja Cements an outperformer

Karvy Stock Broking has rated Ambuja Cements as an outperformer with a target price of Rs 101 in its July 16, 2008 research report. "For the quarter ending June 08, we expect the net sales would go up by 6.6% yoy to Rs 15.6 billion. Volume has shown a muted growth of 1.4% to 4.44 million tones due to export ban. Average realization would go up by 5.2% to Rs 3517 per tones."

"At the current market price of Rs 79 the company is trading at PER multiple of 10.2x and EV/EBIDTA multiple of 6.1x on CY09E earnings. We had valued the company on EV/EBIDTA multiple of 7.5x and rate the company as an outperformer with price target of Rs 101," says Karvy's research report.

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