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Sunday, May 31, 2009

Stock views on Suzlon Energy, KEC International, Mphasis

Anagram Research on Suzlon Energy - Target of Rs 60
Anagram Research has recommended a buy rating on Suzlon Energy with a target price of Rs 60 in its research report.

"In the last 2 years, Suzlon has traded in the range of 16 to 65 times its earnings. Whereas Vestas and Gamesa have traded in the range of 25 to 73 and 24 to 42 respectively. Historically the companies in the wind energy market have traded at high P/E levels primarily due to expected high growth of the industry. Furthermore the recent decline in the stock price of Suzlon presents an excellent opportunity for investment in the company."

"We believe Suzlon will continue to command high P/E on account of better growth prospects, well placed among peers & due to planned backward integration leading to higher margins in the future. We believe most of the bad news has already been factored in the stock price. While the long term story for the Wind Energy sector is intact and Suzlon has done well to survive amongst adversity. We recommend BUY rating on the stock with a target price of Rs 60 in 12 month period," says Anagram's research report.


Bonanza on KEC International - Target of Rs 147

Bonanza has recommended investors to buy KEC International on dips near 105-110 levels, for a target of Rs 147 in its research report.

"A RPG group company KEC is leading tower & transmission line EPC contractor. The Power sector is its main customer. It has order book of Rs 5000 crore, out of which over 70% is from overseas. It is executing orders in 15 countries presently. Given the visibility in earnings the scrip looks a good mid-term investment pick. At CMP, it trades at about 5.5 PE based on FY 09 Estimated EPS of Rs.21.7. Investors can buy on dips near 105-110 levels i.e. 5X PE, for a target of Rs 147 i.e. at PE multiple of 7," says Bonanza's research report.


Emkay Global on Mphasis - Target of Rs 240

Emkay Global Financial Services has maintained its buy rating on Mphasis with a price target of Rs 240 in its research report.

"Mphasis’s strong parentage of HP-EDS has helped it sustain high growth rates in the recent past and we believe that would continue to provide strong support in a tough demand environment. We highlight that Mphasis’s ITO business’s growth is driven by restructuring of EDS’s existing ITO contracts as the new contracts incorporate significant offshore ramp up in Infrastructure outsourcing."

"We highlight that the erstwhile EDS management (prior to the HP takeover) had categorically attributed its improved success rate in new deal wins/renewals to Mphasis’s offshore strength and had indicated that those deals had a substantial offshore component. We believe Mphasis remains the ‘Best Demand’ story in a tough macro environment helped by it’s strong HP-EDS parentage. Maintain BUY with a price target of Rs 240," says Emkay Global Financial Services' research report.

Saturday, May 30, 2009

Indiabulls Securities views on Patni Computer Systems, Suzlon Energy, Mphasis

Indiabulls Securities on Patni - Target of Rs 123

Indiabulls Securities Research has maintained its buy rating on Patni Computer Systems with a target price of Rs 123 in its research report.

"Patni Computer System (Patni)’s result for CY08 was in line with our estimates. For Q4 CY08, Patni reported 6.7% qoq growth in net sales to Rs 8.5 billion, largely helped by the sharp depreciation of the rupee vis-à-vis the dollar. However, revenues went down by an expected 3.9% qoq, in USD terms, due to the global slowdown. The EBITDA margin declined 874 bps to 10.9%, owing to a weak operational performance during the quarter. Nonetheless, Patni remains an attractive value pick, considering its low EV/EBITDA. Besides, the Company has a high investment portfolio & cash position, which will work as a strong base for its stock price. Although we have reduced our target price (TP) to Rs 123 from Rs 142, we maintain our Buy rating on the stock," says Indiabulls Securities' research report.


Indiabulls Securities on Suzlon Energy - Target of Rs 53

Indiabulls Securities Research has recommended a buy rating on Suzlon Energy with a target price of Rs 53 in its research report.

"Suzlon Energy Ltd. (SEL) reported a strong operating performance during Q3’09. Net sales for the Company (Wind Group and Hansen) increased 56.2% yoy to Rs 49.5 billion, mainly on account of better sales realisations and increased sales volumes. EBITDA increased 64% to Rs 6.4 billion due to a decline in raw material costs and a 21% yoy increase in the average realisation rate."

"Though our near-term outlook for the Company has weakened because of the prevailing slowdown, we believe that the current market price more than factors the negatives. Based on our valuation, we have arrived at a target price of Rs 53 (assuming an 11.2% WACC and a 5% terminal growth rate). Since our target price provides an upside potential of 36% from the CMP, we give a Buy rating," says Indiabulls Securities' research report.


Motilal Oswal on Mphasis - Target of Rs 200

Motilal Oswal has maintained its buy rating on Mphasis with target price of Rs 200 in its research report.

"Mphasis reported QoQ revenue growth of 9.3% at Rs 9.8 billion v/s our estimate of Rs 9.6 billion for the quarter ended January 2009. The company has changed its financial year to Y/E October, in line with HP’s reporting cycle. EBIT margin at 21.5% was up 260bp QoQ. PAT at Rs 2.1 billion grew 15% QoQ with PAT margin expansion of 100bp QoQ to 21.5%. Forex gains were Rs 30.9 million in 1QFY09 v/s Rs 149 million in 4QFY08. Tax rate at 3.2% was lower than 2.8% in 4QFY08."

"Mphasis has displayed impressive execution since the last few quarters with 1] robust operating margin expansion, 2] improvement in billing rates in an environment of high pricing pressure, 3] improvement in utilization. We believe Mphasis would benefit from its strong parentage (HP and EDS) and presence in offshorable service lines like BPO, infra and application maintenance services in the near future. Maintain Buy, target price of Rs 200," says Motilal Oswal's research report.

Friday, May 29, 2009

Stock views on Power Grid, AIA Engineering, Emco, KSB Pumps

Hem Securities on Power Grid - Target of Rs 105
Hem Securities has recommended a buy rating on Power Grid Corporation of India with a target of Rs 105 in its research report.

"Power Grid Corporation of India has granted investment approval for implementation of `North East - Northern / Western Inter connector-I' Project at an estimated cost of Rs 111.30 billion with commissioning schedule of 54 months for Part A (related to HVDC) and 48 months for part B and C (related to AC) of the transmission system, from the date of investment approval."

"The net sales for the company gone up by 36.07% to Rs 14774.40 million for the Q3FY09 as against the net sales of Rs 10857.70 million for the Q3FY08. The company posted the EBITDA of Rs 12269.50 million for the Q3FY09 as against the EBITDA of Rs 8881.30 million for the Q3FY08 with the growth rate of 38.15%. We initiate a ‘BUY’ signal on the stock at the current levels with a target of Rs 105 in the medium term investment horizon (3- 4 months) with an appreciation of 16%," says Hem Securities' research report.


Hem Securities on AIA Engineering - Target of Rs 178

Hem Securities has reiterated its buy rating on AIA Engineering with a target of Rs 178 in its research report.

"AIA Engineering Limited has a scalable business model, good growth visibility, high operating margin and limited competition. The company has registered a continuous robust growth rate over past few years. As discussed with the management, the Company has a strong order book position of around INR 415 crores which provides a strong visibility to their revenues. We expect the company to outperform in the future and we reiterate “BUY” on the stock with a target of Rs 178," says Hem Securities' report.


KRChoksey on Emco - Target of Rs 36

KRChoksey has maintained its buy rating on Emco with a target price of Rs 36 in its research report.

"Emco Ltd has received five orders worth Rs 550 crore from the state-run Power Grid Corporation of India Ltd for a 765 kilo volt overhead transmission line. The orders also involve supply of galvanised steel towers. In Q3FY09, company’s witnessed drop of 14.6% & 45.7%(YoY) in net sales & PAT to Rs 207.9 crore & Rs 8.2 crore. The topline declined mainly due to intentional delay in deliveries to industrial clients and issues in sourcing of key components. We maintain our BUY rating on the stock with target price of Rs 36, with an upside potential of 38.5% from current levels," says KRChoksey's research report.


KRChoksey on KSB Pumps - Target of Rs 242

KRChoksey has recommended a buy rating on KSB Pumps with a target price of Rs 242 in its research report.

"In Q4CY08, the company’s sales have increased by 33% on a y -o-y basis to Rs 174.7 crore from Rs 131.8 crore. The growth in sales was on account of rise in the revenues from pumps segment by 47% y-o-y.The growth of the pump industry would be driven by the heavy investments being made in the user industries, such as power and petrochemicals."


"The growth of the pump industry would be driven by the heavy investments being made in the user industries, such as power and petrochemicals. However delay in the expansion plans of user industries and volatility in raw material prices going forward can affect the company’s earnings. We recommend a BUY with a target price of Rs 242, implying an upside potential of 17%. At the target price, the stock would be valued at 5.5x CY09E EPS of Rs 43.4," says KRChoksey's research report.
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