Stock views on Clutch Auto, Time Technoplast, Sahyadri Industries

Bonanza on Clutch Auto - Target Rs 50

Bonanza research is bullish on Clutch Auto and has recommended buy rating on the stock with a target of Rs 50, in its research report.

"Clutch Auto (CAL) is a leading Clutch & Related components maker in India. It is likely to report an EPS of Rs.5 in FY2010. At CMP, it trades at 8 PE on FY 10 estimates. On Cash EPS basis, it trades at 3.4 Cash PE on FY10 estimated Cash EPS of Rs.12/Share. Also the scrip is at steep discount to its FY 2009 Book value of Rs. 86/Share. Investors may BUY in Rs 38-40 range for a target of Rs 50 i.e. about 10 times its FY 2010 estimated EPS," says Bonanza research report.

Investment Rationale
· The replacement market is the most important segment, accounting for 47% of the sales. CAL has vast marketing pan India network of 37 marketing offices in 20 major cities.
· The Indian automobile industry is on fast revival after tough period in later half of FY09. With confidence returning in economy, CV and Capital goods sales are witnessing upward trend after almost 2 years of slow down. · Growth in Auto Industry directly benefits the Ancillary industry.
· All the major customers of CAL are witnessing strong sales growth

Hem Securities on Time Technoplast - Target Rs 70

Hem Securities is bullish on Time Technoplast's and has recommended buy rating on the stock with a target of Rs 70, in its research report.

"Time Technoplast's sound business profile is driven by technology focus, diversified product portfolio, diversified customer base and increasing scales of economies. The Company's international presence through its operations in Poland , Sharjah , Bahrain and Thailand has enabled it to de-risk the markets and its businesses. The company has reported great results for Q2FY10. The global slowdown of the economy affected export sectors the most. Fortunately, TTL does not have any dependence on exports as well. The company is running at a P/E multiple of 11.92x with an EPS of Rs.4.11 (TTM). We are positive on the company’s outlook and we recommend BUY on stock with a medium term price target of Rs 70," says Hem Securities research report.

Sunidhi Securities & Finance on Sahyadri Industries - Target Rs 125

Sunidhi Securities & Finance has recommended buy rating on Sahyadri Industries with a target of Rs 125, in its research report.

“Sahyadri Industries, (SIL) has further planned to invest in additional six wind mill, two in the state of TamilNadu and four in Rajasthan. The wind power generation in TN will be consumed by SIL’s sheet manufacturing plant at Perundurai and power generation in Rajasthan will be sold to State Utility. In the process of wind power generation, SIL also generates carbon emission reduction which may be negotiated for price in international market under Clean Development Mechanism, subject to completing formalities and obtaining certificate of carbon emission reduction as per Kyoto Protocol.”

He further added, “SIL is likely to post an EPS of Rs 33 in FY10, which would further go up to Rs 38 in FY11. At CMP, the share is trading at a P/E of 2.8x on FY10E and 2.4x on FY11E. SIL has been forming higher highs and higher lows. However, RSI indicator (in the lower window) has failed to make higher highs. The support levels are around Rs 90 and thereafter at Rs 85. The resistance on the upside is at Rs 105. A breach of this level should take the stock price to Rs130. We recommend BUY with a target of Rs 125,” says Sunidhi Securities & Finance research report.

TIME Technoplast

is India’s leading manufacturer of drums and containers used in transportation of chemicals with nearly 4 million units per annum and 75% market share in India. The company derives nearly 58% of its annual revenues from industrial packaging, with lifestyle products contributing 9%, and the rest coming from infrastructure products.

GROWTH DRIVERS

The company recently commissioned its greenfield battery unit at Panoli and high pressure HDPE pipe and pre-fabricated structures at Silvassa. It is setting up another plant to manufacture drums and containers near Kolkata to commission by September 2009 and planning to enter China with a greenfield unit. The government has recently made the usage of auto-disable syringes mandatory in India to improve public health. This is set to help Time Technoplast, which is a leading producer of such syringes from its plant in Baddi.
It has started supplying plastic fuel tanks for export variants of Tata’s commercial vehicle ‘Ace’ from its Pantnagar plant. Thanks to their low weight, which can improve an automobile’s mileage, the plastic fuel tanks have a substantial growth prospects in India. The company’s new capacities are coming up tax free zones and this is likely to reduce its effective rate of tax to around 20% in FY10 from 28.7% in FY09. The company is also working on other innovative products such as green batteries, fuel cells, polymer composite LPG and CNG cylinders, sound barriers as part of its various product lines. All these products have great growth potential in Indian as well as exports markets. Most of these products will be rolled out over next few quarters. At a macro level, with the natural gas based polymer capacities come up in the Middle East, it is expected that the global polymer prices will remain depressed in coming 2-3 years. This bodes extremely well for a plastic product manufacturer like Time Technoplast.

FINANCIALS

The company has always maintained its operating profit margin around 18% - 20% over last five years, which signifies its ability to command premium for its products. During the same period the company’s net profit grew at a cumulative annual growth rate (CAGR) of 109% as against 44% CAGR in net sales. Its performance for the December 2008 quarter was weakened due to the crash in commodity prices necessitating a write off in inventory value. At the same time, higher interest rates and longer working capital cycle pushed up the interest cost. As a result, the company’s consolidated profit fell 32% to Rs 14.5 crore

VALUATIONS

At current price, the scrip is trading at a P/E of 11.2 times based on trailing twelve month profits. We expect the company to end FY09 with earnings of Rs 3.9 per share, which discounts the current market price 9.8 times. During FY 2010 the company will have full benefit of its various new capacities, which are likely to boost its EPS to Rs 5.3. At its current market price, the stock is trading at just 7.3 time the forward EPS for FY10.

CONCERN

Several of the company’s products such as the plastic fuel tanks, fibre coated CNG / LPG cylinders, duro-turf, pre-fabricated structures, roadside sound barriers are new to Indian market and need government approvals as well as customer acceptance, both of which are time-consuming.

Stock views on Bharti Airtel, Triveni Engineering, VST Tillers, Time Technoplast

Anand Rathi on Bharti Airtel - Target of Rs 850

Anand Rathi Securities has initiated a buy rating on Bharti Airtel with a target price of Rs 850 in its November 22, 2008 research report. "We believe Bharti offers a rare combination of high quality, solid and visible earnings growth at attractive valuations. The company is best placed to ride regulatory bumps, thanks to its superior scale and strong balance sheet. We initiate with a Buy and Sep ’09 target price of Rs 850," says Anand Rathi's research report.

PINC Research on Time Techno - Target of Rs 50

PINC Research has maintained its buy rating on Time Technoplast with a target of Rs 50 in its November 21, 2008 research report. "We have moderated our outlook primarily due to the deteriorating economic conditions. Even though feedstock prices continue to ease, we believe the bigger threat to earnings is from lower offtake from the auto sector. We remain confident of the company’s ability to sustain margins in the 19-20% band and maintain our ‘BUY’ recommendation, but have revised downwards our price target to Rs 50 to reflect the lower earnings," says PINC's research report.

PINC Research on Triveni Engineering - Target of Rs 45

PINC Research has upgraded its rating on Triveni Engineering to buy with a target of Rs 45 in its November 21, 2008 research report. "Triveni Engineering and Industries Ltd. (TEIL) reported a YoY growth of 41% in net sales to Rs 4.3 billion for Q4FY08. Net profits surged by 5.4x to Rs 270 million. Although we expect the profitability to be impacted by higher cane price, we believe the same would be partially compensated by liquidation of low cost sugar of SS 07-08 and better distillery product prices. Hence, we upgrade our recommendation to ‘BUY’ with a price target of Rs 45 (valuing at 6.5x) on a one year investment perspective," says PINC's research report.

Sunidhi Securities on VST Tillers - Target of Rs 135

Sunidhi Securities & Finance has recommended a buy rating on VST Tillers Tractors with a target of Rs 135 in its November 21, 2008 research report. "During Q2FY09 OP & NP margins stood at 16.7 and 10% against 13.7 and 7.2% respectively. During H1FY09 OP margin has moved up from 13.1% to 14.6% and net margin surged from 7% to 8.3%. VSTTL expects to continue its progress in establishing a sizeable market share for power tillers in states such as West Bengal, Karnataka, Orissa and Andhra Pradesh during the coming years. This apart, the prospects of exporting power tillers appear to be bright."

"During FY09, sales are expected to go up by 40% to Rs 260 crore and net profit by 45 per cent to Rs 20.9 crore, which would yield an EPS of Rs 36. We recommend BUY with a target of Rs 135 in the medium term. The 52-Week high and the low of the share has been Rs 259/88," says Sunidhi Securities & Finance's research report.