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Saturday, January 31, 2009

Karvy Stock Broking views on Everest Kanto Cylinder,

Everest Kanto Cylinder - Target of Rs 215



Karvy Stock Broking has maintained its buy rating on Everest Kanto Cylinder with a target of Rs 215 in its November 26, 2008 research report. "EKC recently announced that they would be setting up a 50:50 JV with M/s. Tomasetto Achilles group, Argentina for carrying on the business of assembling / manufacturing of CNG kits. Currently demand supply scenario for CNG cylinders is favorable. Since CNG is a cleaner fuel, use of CNG as an alternative fuel would continue to receive government support globally. With CNG infrastructure expected to improve in many countries including India and China, demand for CNG cylinders would continue to increase. We expect the company to report robust CAGR earnings growth of 43% over FY08-FY10. So even though we are downgrading our price target, we continue to maintain our BUY rating on the stock," says Karvy's research report.






Great Offshore - Target of Rs 400





Karvy Stock Broking has maintained its buy rating on Great Offshore with a target price of Rs 400 in its November 27, 2008 research report. "At current market price of Rs 257, the stock is trading at 3.8xFY10 and 3.2xFY11 earnings of Rs 67 and Rs 80.1 respectively. The stock is trading at 3xFY10 and 2.4xFY11 on EV/ EBIDTA. We have not factored the upside from acquisition of two companies (KEI) and RSOS which could provide further upside to our valuation. We have assumed convertible bonds as debt (Conversion price of Rs 875 per share), if bonds get converted the equity dilution (2.64 million shares) would decline our earnings and price target by 9%. We have valued the company on earnings multiple considering strong revenue visibility due to long term contracts. We have valued the company at 5x FY11 earnings to capture the impact of the upcoming assets. We maintain BUY with target price of Rs 400," says Karvy's research report.

Friday, January 30, 2009

Stock Views on Patni Computer Systems, KS Oils, Bharti Airtel, Dabur India,

Buy Patni Computer Systems, tgt Rs 142: Indiabulls Sec



Indiabulls Securities Research has upgraded its rating on Patni Computer Systems to buy with a target price of Rs 142 in its November 25, 2008 research report. "Patni Computer Systems (Patni) reported a modest sequential growth of 4.2% to Rs 8 billion for Q2’09, helped by the sharp depreciation of the rupee. respectively. The stock trades at a heavy discount to the industry average multiple of 7.9x and 7.2x for CY08 and CY09, respectively. Besides, based on our DCF valuation, we have arrived at a target price of Rs. 142, assuming an 8% Rf, a 5% terminal growth rate, and a 13.1% WACC. Our target price provides an upside of 20.3% over the current levels; thus, we upgrade our rating to Buy," says Indiabulls Securities' research report.



KS Oils - Target of Rs 52



Angel Broking has maintained its buy rating on KS Oils with a revised target price of Rs 52 in its November 26, 2008 research report. "KS Oils (KSO) has acquired a 500 metric tonnes per day (MTPD) port based refinery in Haldia Port in East India for Rs 125 crore. The plant which has a total refining capacity of 500MTPD with a vanaspati unit of 150MTPD is located within the Haldia Port with a direct pipeline access to ships. The acquisition will help the company in setting up a manufacturing base in Eastern India, which is one of its key markets. Moreover with this acquisition, KSO currently is using only the ports in western coast due to the presence of its existing plants in western and central India has access to eastern coast thereby reducing its geographic risks."



"The refinery is expected to give a boost to the company’s refined oils product strategy and will produce refined oil under the current brand name of KS Refined and KS Gold Refined for consumers in North East, West Bengal, Orissa, Bihar, Jharkhand and Uttar Pradesh. The acquisition is expected to facilitate logistics efficiencies and significantly reduce the time to market KSO’s products to its consumers in East India. We believe this acquisition will bring in incremental sales of Rs 180 crore and Rs 540 crore in FY2009 and FY2010 respectively. The net profit too is expected to increase by Rs 9 crore and Rs 27 crore during the same time periods. We believe this acquisition is EPS accretive and hence we maintain a Buy on the stock with a revised target price of Rs 52 (Rs 47)," says Angel's research report.



Dabur India, Target of Rs 80



Angel Broking has recommended an accumulate rating on Dabur India with a target price of Rs 80 in its November 24, 2008 research report. "Dabur India has acquired 72.15% of Fem Care Pharma Ltd (FCPL), a leading player in the women’s skin care products market, for Rs 204 crore in an all-cash deal. We believe the acquisition to be a positive move by Dabur, although at a slightly higher cost, as it brings to Dabur a portfolio of well-known household brands that enjoy a strong positioning in their respective categories, offering Dabur a strong platform to enter into newer product categories and markets since it was witnessing a slowdown in its core categories like Toothpaste, Hair Oils and Homecare."



"As with the previous acquisition and subsequent integration of Balsara’s Hygiene and Home products businesses, Fem too would offer substantial synergies for expanding the reach of Fem’s brands in all its geographies as well as better management of overall system costs. This provides Dabur an entry into the high-growth skin care market with an established brand name Fem with further potential to extend the brand into newer and related skin care categories. We recommend Accumulate rating on Dabur with a target price of Rs 80," says Angel's research report.



Bharti Airtel - Target of Rs 710



India Infoline has recommended a buy rating on Bharti Airtel with a stoploss of Rs 610 and target of Rs 710 in its November 25, 2008 research report. "In the short-term, we expect the current reversal in trend to continue. The daily RSI is also showing a sign of reversal, currently trading above 45. Short-term traders can buy the stock in the range of Rs 635-650 for a target of Rs 710. It is advisable to maintain a stop loss of Rs 610 on the long positions," says India Infoline's research report.

Thursday, January 29, 2009

KRChoksey Views on Blue Dart, JMC Project, C and C Constuctions, Aegis Logistics

Blue Dart - Target of Rs 520





KRChoksey Research has recommended a buy rating on Blue Dart Express with a target price of Rs 520 in its November 19, 2008 research report. "Net sales increased 27.8% y-o-y and 8.6% q-o-q to Rs 265.8 crore driven by increase in the average pricing (15-20% in air cargo charges and 10-15% in the ground network service charges). We recommend a BUY on this stock with target price of Rs 520, which represents an upside potential of 21.8%," says KRChoksey's research report.





JMC Project - Target of Rs 97





KRChoksey Research has maintained its buy rating on JMC Projects (India) with a target of Rs 97 in its November 17, 2008 research report. "Company’s sales increased by 76.4% y-o-y to Rs 325.5 crore. The PAT was flat at Rs 6.8 crores. We have reduced our sales estimates for FY09, as there is no visibility of fresh order inflows. However, we anticipate order execution will be at expected pace. The EBITDA margins have been revised downward, mainly due to an increasing trend in construction expenses."





"Interest cost estimates have been revised upwards due to an increase in interest cost during the quarter. It will impact the PAT margins of the company by 27bps. We have given additional liquidity discount of 10% to company’s multiples. We therefore downgrade our target price to Rs 97, maintaining a BUY rating, with an upside potential of 51.5%," says KRChoksey's research report.




C and C Constuctions - Target of Rs 137





KRChoksey Research has maintained its buy rating on C and C Constuctions with a target of Rs 137 in its November 14, 2008 research report. "Company’s sales increased by 162% yoy to Rs 129 crore on the back of strong order book position. PAT was flat at Rs 4.95 crores. We have revised our sales estimates for the year upwards by 8.6% due to fresh inflow of orders. However, we anticipate slowdown in order execution thus affecting the topline. The EBITDA margins have been maintained owing to falling commodity prices. An increase in debt levels of the company is anticipated, which will impact the PAT margins of the company. We therefore downgrade our target price from Rs 265 to Rs 137, maintaining a BUY rating, with an upside potential of 25.6%," says KRChoksey's research report.





Aegis Logistics - Target of Rs 96





KRChoksey Research has recommended a buy rating on Aegis Logistics with a target of Rs 96 in its November 17, 2008 research report. "Net sales increased 42.5% y-o-y to Rs 130.9 crore driven by strong growth in both gas (47.6%) and liquid logistics (18.0%) divisions. Net profit dipped 13.0% y-o-y to Rs 7.8 crore."





"In the long run, we firmly believe that the key upside to Aegis’ story is its Auto Gas business, which is likely to be driven by the company’s strong expansion plan and increasing price differential between Auto LPG, with respect to diesel and petrol. At CMP the stock is trading at 3.2x on FY09E EPS of Rs 20.7. We recommend a BUY on this stock with target price of Rs 96, which represents an upside potential of 43.3%," says KRChoksey's research report.

Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Indiabulls Securities views on State Bank of India, NTPC

State Bank of India - Target Rs 1,541


Indiabulls Securities Research has upgraded its rating on State Bank of India (SBI) to buy in its November 10, 2008 research report. "State Bank of India’s operating profit and net profit for Q2’09 surged 54.5% and 40.2% yoy, respectively, exhibiting a strong performance. While we expect the economic slowdown to adversely impact the Bank’s performance in the near-to-medium term, we believe that most of the negatives have been factored in the current price. Our fair value estimate is Rs 1,541. We, therefore, upgrade our rating to BUY," says Indiabulls Securities' research report.


NTPC - Target of Rs 194


Indiabulls Securities Research has upgraded its rating on NTPC to buy with a target of Rs 194 in its November 11, 2008 research report. "NTPC clocked revenues to the tune of Rs 96.6 billion for Q2’09. Net profit for the quarter increased 9.6% yoy to Rs 21.1 billion. After the recent correction, we believe NTPC’s stock should prove to be a good buy. Based on our DCF valuation, we have arrived at a target price of Rs 194, assuming a terminal growth rate of 5% and a WACC of 10.5%. Since our target price implies an upside of 28% from the CMP, we upgrade our rating to Buy," says Indiabulls Securities' research report.

Tuesday, January 27, 2009

Sunidhi Securities views on Balaji Amines, Visaka Industries

Balaji Amines - Target of Rs 100


Sunidhi Securities & Finance has recommended a buy rating on Balaji Amines with a target of Rs 100 in its November 24, 2008 research report. "During Q2FY09, sales have advanced by 43 per cent to Rs 71.6 crore, net profit has surged by 85 per cent to Rs 6.7 crore. BAL has emerged as the lowest cost producer of methyl amines in the world and regularly supplies its products to BASF, Clariant, Glaxo, Merck, Wyeth, Tera Group, Helm AG and Indian majors like Dr Reddy’s, Ranbaxy and Sun Pharma. At the CMP the share is trading at a P/E of 2.6x on FY09E and 2.1x on FY10E. We recommend BUY with a medium to long term target of Rs 100," says Sunidhi Securities & Finance's research report.



Visaka Industries - Target of Rs 55



Sunidhi Securities & Finance has recommended a buy rating on Visaka Industries with a target of Rs 55 in its November 24, 2008 research report. "During Q2FY09, sales have gone up by 27 per cent to Rs 121 crore on whereas net profit was placed at Rs 7 crore against net loss of Rs 2.7 crore in Q2FY08. At the CMP of Rs 36, the share is trading at a P/E of 1.8x on FY09E and 1.5x on FY10E. We recommend BUY with a medium to long term target of Rs 55," says Sunidhi Securities & Finance's research report.

Monday, January 26, 2009

LKP Shares views on Aries Agro, Shanthi Gears

Aries Agro - Target of Rs 75



LKP Shares has recommended a buy rating on Aries Agro with one-year target of Rs 75 in its research report. "Aries posted a 23% drop in net profit during H1-FY'09. We recommend a BUY on Aries Agro Ltd based on an expected 65% CAGR growth in net profits over the next two years, which would be driven by a 42% growth in revenues during the same period. Given the positioning of the company in the India centric rural domain of micronutrients with a presence across all states we remain bullish on Aries trading at 2xFY'10E and 1.3xFY'11E earnings. BUY with a one-year price target of Rs 75," says LKP Shares' research report.


Shanthi Gears - Target of Rs 56



LKP Shares has recommended a buy rating on Shanthi Gears with an one-year price target of Rs 56 in its research report. "H1FY'09 results of SGL were below expectations on the revenue front clearly reflecting the slowdown in core sector demand during the second quarter. However SGL has been able to maintain profitability due to reduction in material costs and better product mix towards customized gears. Given the strong balance sheet and virtually debt-free status we believe that SGL trading at 6xFY'10E is a good investment bet and we recommend a BUY with a one-year price target of Rs 56," says LKP Shares' research report.

Sunday, January 25, 2009

Stock Views on Patni Computer Systems, Bharti Airtel, Dabur India, KS Oils

Indiabulls Sec on Patni Computer Systems - Target Rs 142

Indiabulls Securities Research has upgraded its rating on Patni Computer Systems to buy with a target price of Rs 142 in its November 25, 2008 research report. "Patni Computer Systems (Patni) reported a modest sequential growth of 4.2% to Rs 8 billion for Q2’09, helped by the sharp depreciation of the rupee. respectively. The stock trades at a heavy discount to the industry average multiple of 7.9x and 7.2x for CY08 and CY09, respectively. Besides, based on our DCF valuation, we have arrived at a target price of Rs. 142, assuming an 8% Rf, a 5% terminal growth rate, and a 13.1% WACC. Our target price provides an upside of 20.3% over the current levels; thus, we upgrade our rating to Buy," says Indiabulls Securities' research report.

Angel on KS Oils - Target of Rs 52

Angel Broking has maintained its buy rating on KS Oils with a revised target price of Rs 52 in its November 26, 2008 research report. "KS Oils (KSO) has acquired a 500 metric tonnes per day (MTPD) port based refinery in Haldia Port in East India for Rs 125 crore. The plant which has a total refining capacity of 500MTPD with a vanaspati unit of 150MTPD is located within the Haldia Port with a direct pipeline access to ships. The acquisition will help the company in setting up a manufacturing base in Eastern India, which is one of its key markets. Moreover with this acquisition, KSO currently is using only the ports in western coast due to the presence of its existing plants in western and central India has access to eastern coast thereby reducing its geographic risks."

"The refinery is expected to give a boost to the company’s refined oils product strategy and will produce refined oil under the current brand name of KS Refined and KS Gold Refined for consumers in North East, West Bengal, Orissa, Bihar, Jharkhand and Uttar Pradesh. The acquisition is expected to facilitate logistics efficiencies and significantly reduce the time to market KSO’s products to its consumers in East India. We believe this acquisition will bring in incremental sales of Rs 180 crore and Rs 540 crore in FY2009 and FY2010 respectively. The net profit too is expected to increase by Rs 9 crore and Rs 27 crore during the same time periods. We believe this acquisition is EPS accretive and hence we maintain a Buy on the stock with a revised target price of Rs 52 (Rs 47)," says Angel's research report.

Angel on Dabur India - Target of Rs 80

Angel Broking has recommended an accumulate rating on Dabur India with a target price of Rs 80 in its November 24, 2008 research report. "Dabur India has acquired 72.15% of Fem Care Pharma Ltd (FCPL), a leading player in the women’s skin care products market, for Rs 204 crore in an all-cash deal. We believe the acquisition to be a positive move by Dabur, although at a slightly higher cost, as it brings to Dabur a portfolio of well-known household brands that enjoy a strong positioning in their respective categories, offering Dabur a strong platform to enter into newer product categories and markets since it was witnessing a slowdown in its core categories like Toothpaste, Hair Oils and Homecare."

"As with the previous acquisition and subsequent integration of Balsara’s Hygiene and Home products businesses, Fem too would offer substantial synergies for expanding the reach of Fem’s brands in all its geographies as well as better management of overall system costs. This provides Dabur an entry into the high-growth skin care market with an established brand name Fem with further potential to extend the brand into newer and related skin care categories. We recommend Accumulate rating on Dabur with a target price of Rs 80," says Angel's research report.

India Infoline on Bharti Airtel - Target of Rs 710

India Infoline has recommended a buy rating on Bharti Airtel with a stoploss of Rs 610 and target of Rs 710 in its November 25, 2008 research report. "In the short-term, we expect the current reversal in trend to continue. The daily RSI is also showing a sign of reversal, currently trading above 45. Short-term traders can buy the stock in the range of Rs 635-650 for a target of Rs 710. It is advisable to maintain a stop loss of Rs 610 on the long positions," says India Infoline's research report.

Saturday, January 24, 2009

Angel Broking views on Banking Stocks Part II - HDFC Bank, Axis Bank, Indian Overseas Bank

HDFC Bank - Target of Rs 1361

Angel Broking has maintained its buy rating on HDFC Bank with a 12-month target price of Rs 1361 in its November 21, 2008 research report. "We believe HDFC Bank is among the most competitive banks in the sector and is poised to maintain its profitable growth over the long term. We believe the bank's competitive advantages, driving gains in CASA market share and traction in multiple fee revenue streams, can support upto 5% higher core sustainable RoEs vis-à-vis sectoral averages over the long term, creating a material margin of safety in our target valuation multiples. At Rs 857, the stock is trading at 13.0x FY2010E EPS of Rs66 and 1.9x FY2010E ABV of Rs 453.6. We value the stock at 3.0x FY2010E ABV to arrive at a 12-month target price of Rs 1361, implying an upside of 59%. We maintain Buy on the stock," says Angel's research report.

IOB, target of Rs 96

Angel Broking has maintained its buy rating on Indian Overseas Bank (IOB) with a 12-month target price of Rs 96 in its November 21, 2008 research report. "Given the bank's progressive decline in NIMs that has eroded sustainable RoEs as well as further downside risks to NIMs and asset quality, we have valued the stock at 0.9x FY2010E ABV below the median one-year forward P/ABV multiple of 1.2x that it has traded at since April 2002. Nonetheless, at Rs 62, the stock is trading at cheap valuiations of 2.6x FY2010E EPS of Rs 24.2 and 0.6x FY2010E ABV of Rs113.2. Hence, we maintain Buy on the stock, with a 12-month Target Price of Rs 96, translating into an upside of 54%," says Angel Broking's research report.

Axis Bank, target of Rs 748

Angel Broking has maintained its buy rating on Axis Bank with a target price of Rs 748 in its November 21, 2008 research report. "Over the past five years, Axis Bank has transformed itself into a strong private bank with a growing market share in Corporate and Retail banking. During this period, the bank has rapidly expanded its network and gained traction in segments such as transaction banking, wealth management and cards. We expect the bank's RoE to improve to 19% by FY2010E and expect the bank to deliver amongst the highest PAT growth in our coverage universe at 38% CAGR over FY2008-10E. We value the stock at 2.4x FY2010E ABV (20% discount to HDFC Bank, given higher asset quality concerns) to arrive at a revised 12-month target price of Rs 748 (Rs 929), implying an upside of 82%. We maintain a Buy on the stock," says Angel's research report.

Friday, January 23, 2009

Angel Broking views on Bank stocks - Punjab National Bank, Union Bank, Oriental Bank of Commerce, Bank Of India

Union Bank - Target of Rs 194


Angel Broking has recommended a buy rating Union Bank of India with a target of Rs 194 in its November 21, 2008 research report. "We believe UNBK is amongst the more profitable, efficient and competitive PSU Banks. We have a positive outlook on the bank due to traction in CASA deposit growth driven by large branch expansion plans as well as cost-efficient operations. We expect the Bank to deliver 12% CAGR in Net Profit and 24% RoE over FY2008-10E."


"At Rs 144, the stock is trading at 4.2x FY2010E EPS of Rs 34.3 and 0.9x FY2010E ABV of Rs 161.9. The stock has been trading at a median one-year forward P/ABV multiple of 1.1x since April 2002. We value the stock at 1.2x FY2010E ABV to arrive at a 12-month Target Price of Rs 194, implying an upside of 35%. We recommend a Buy on the stock," says Angel Broking's research report.


PNB - Target of Rs 625


Angel Broking has recommended a buy rating on Punjab National Bank (PNB) with a target of Rs 625 in its November 21, 2008 research report. "We believe PNB is amongst the more profitable and competitive PSBs, with relatively moderate Earnings growth and strong RoE prospects. We have a positive outlook on the Bank due to its superior CASA ratio and high core income component in Earnings, tempered by relatively moderate growth momentum. We expect the bank to deliver about 21% RoE over FY2008-10E and maintain high RoEs relative to peers over the longer term as well, underpinning higher valuation multiples."


"At Rs 451, the stock is trading at 4.9x FY2010E EPS of Rs 92.5 and 0.9x FY2010E Adjusted Book Value (ABV) of Rs 480.4. We value the stock at 1.3x FY2010E ABV to arrive at a 12-month Target Price of Rs 625,implying an upside of 39%. We recommend a Buy on the stock," says Angel Broking's research report.


Bank Of India - Target of Rs 317


Angel Broking has recommended a buy rating on Bank Of India with a target price of Rs 317 in its November 21, 2008 research report. "We are positive on Bank of India (BOI) due to its balanced funding mix, moderate operating costs, efficient capital management and high core fee income. Consistent improvement in operating leverage and relatively higher resilience in NIMs have led to improvement in core RoE. Hence, we value the stock at 1.3x FY2010E ABV (above its median P/ABV of 1.0x since April 2002) to arrive at a 12-month target price of Rs 317. We recommend a Buy on the stock," says Angel's research report.



Oriental Bank - Target of Rs 192


Angel Broking has recommended a buy rating on Oriental Bank of Commerce with a 12-month target price of Rs 192 in its November 21, 2008 research report. "Oriental Bank of Commerce's (OBC) sustainable RoAs are low on account of its weak Deposit mix and low Fee income. On account of reduced sustainable RoAs due to substantial NIM compression and moderate growth outlook on NII and Fee Income front, we value the stock at 0.7x FY2010E ABV, below the median one-year forward P/ABV multiple of 1.1x at which it has traded since April 2002."


"Nonetheless, at Rs 137, the stock is trading at cheap valuations of 3.9x FY2010E EPS of Rs 35.7 and 0.5x FY2010E Adjusted Book Value (ABV) of Rs 273.7. Hence, we recommend a Buy on the stock, with a 12-month Target Price of Rs 192, translating into an upside of 39%," says Angel Broking's research report.

Thursday, January 22, 2009

Karvy Stock Broking views on Everest Kanto Cylinder, Great Offshore

Everest Kanto Cylinder - Target of Rs 215



Karvy Stock Broking has maintained its buy rating on Everest Kanto Cylinder with a target of Rs 215 in its November 26, 2008 research report. "EKC recently announced that they would be setting up a 50:50 JV with M/s. Tomasetto Achilles group, Argentina for carrying on the business of assembling / manufacturing of CNG kits. Currently demand supply scenario for CNG cylinders is favorable. Since CNG is a cleaner fuel, use of CNG as an alternative fuel would continue to receive government support globally. With CNG infrastructure expected to improve in many countries including India and China, demand for CNG cylinders would continue to increase. We expect the company to report robust CAGR earnings growth of 43% over FY08-FY10. So even though we are downgrading our price target, we continue to maintain our BUY rating on the stock," says Karvy's research report.



Great Offshore - Target of Rs 400



Karvy Stock Broking has maintained its buy rating on Great Offshore with a target price of Rs 400 in its November 27, 2008 research report. "At current market price the stock is trading at 3.8xFY10 and 3.2xFY11 earnings of Rs 67 and Rs 80.1 respectively. The stock is trading at 3xFY10 and 2.4xFY11 on EV/ EBIDTA. We have not factored the upside from acquisition of two companies (KEI) and RSOS which could provide further upside to our valuation. We have assumed convertible bonds as debt (Conversion price of Rs 875 per share), if bonds get converted the equity dilution (2.64 million shares) would decline our earnings and price target by 9%. We have valued the company on earnings multiple considering strong revenue visibility due to long term contracts. We have valued the company at 5x FY11 earnings to capture the impact of the upcoming assets. We maintain BUY with target price of Rs 400," says Karvy's research report.

Wednesday, January 21, 2009

KRChoksey Views on Bharat Electronics, NALCO, Hindustan Zinc, Ashok Leyland

Bharat Electronics - Target of Rs 770


KRChoksey Research has recommended a buy Bharat Electronics with a target price of Rs 770 in its November 26, 2008 research report. "The revenue of Bharat Electronics increased by 10% (YoY) to Rs 787.72 crore (including other operative income of Rs 7.02 crore) for quarter ended September 2008. On back of rich cash reserves (Rs 307 per share), capacity expansion plans and diversified product portfolio, we give a BUY rating on the stock with target price of Rs 770," says KRChoksey's research report.


NALCO - Target of Rs 225


KRChoksey Research has recommended a buy rating on National Aluminium Company (NALCO) with a target price of Rs 225 in its November 26, 2008 research report. "Going forward, we believe the company is expected to perform better as commodities prices recover. The company is debt free company. It one of the Navratna company and has strong backward integration. Due to strong fundamentals of the company we give a buy with a target price of Rs 225," says KRChoksey's research report.


Hindustan Zinc - Target of Rs 504


KRChoksey Research has recommended a buy rating on Hindustan Zinc with a target price of Rs 504 in its November 26, 2008 research report. "Going forward, we believe the company is expected to perform better as commodities prices recover. HZL is the lowest cost producer of zinc in the world. It is sitting on huge cash and is a debt free company. It is slated to become the largest producer of zinc. Due to strong fundamentals of the company we give a buy with a target price of Rs 504," says KRChoksey's research report.


Mansukh Securities on Ashok Leyland - Target of Rs 25


Mansukh Securities and Finance has maintained its buy rating on Ashok Leyland with a target of Rs 25 in its research report. "Commercial vehicles sales have shown a downward trend in recent past. Moreover, in days to come, Ashok Leyland seems to have a tough stance to match its volumes in the segment."


"The company has recently increased its capacity and has similar plans for future, keeping this in view, the company is expected to carry excess capacity till the time the volumes are not increased. Also the demand for CV is expected to be dependent on factors such as growth in GDP and IIP, trends in interest rates, and availability of bank credit. Considering, the above factors we maintain our BUY rating on the stock by lowering our price target to Rs 25. Higher dividend yield should provide downside protection from current levels," says Mansukh Securities and Finance's research report.

Tuesday, January 20, 2009

Stock Views on Pantaloon Retail, Everest Kanto, Jagran Prakashan, HT Media

Angel Broking on Pantaloon Retail - Target of Rs 284


Angel Broking has recommended a buy rating on Pantaloon Retail with a target price of Rs 284 in its December 1, 2008 research report. "Indian Retail Industry is a derivative of the growing economy, changing demographics and preferences of the Indian consumers. According to industry and our estimates, Nominal GDP growth of 12% over CY2008-CY2010E coupled with estimated growth of 7% in the Real private final consumer expenditure (PFCE) of Indian consumers will drive growth of the Total Indian Retail industry to reach US USD 640 billion by CY2010E. We estimate Organised Retail in India to grow at a CAGR of 35% over CY2008-10E to USD 46 billion. Few key drivers of growth of Organised Retail in India are increase in disposable income, growing aspiring middle class segment, increase in investments in Retail, Tier-II and III cities which would drive long-term growth of Organised Retail. Key challenges facing Organised Retail in India are acceptance of Organised Retail by the Traditional retailers (which is leading to tougher regulatory measures by the government), supply chain inefficiencies, high real estate costs and high execution risks in terms of store rollouts."


"Pantaloon Retail (PRIL) is our top pick in the sector as we believe that the company has competitive advantages over its peers in terms of its presence across consumption and price points of Indian consumers, has pan-India presence and lower execution risks. At Rs 210, the stock is trading at 14.2x FY2010E Earnings and 1.8x FY2010E P/BV. We Initiate Coverage on PRIL with a Buy recommendation and SOTP target price of Rs 284," says Angel's research report.


SKP Securities on Everest Kanto - Target of Rs 229


SKP Securities has recommended a buy rating on Everest Kanto Cylinder (EKC) with a target of Rs 229 in its December 1, 2008 research report. "EKC has planned a capacity expansion of 2,05,000 cylinders including the capacity for 5000 jumbo cylinders, industrial cylinders at Gandhidham with an estimated capital expenditure of Rs 650 million. EKC has made an aggressive capital expenditure plan in China, through EKC Industries (Tianjin) Co. Ltd, the company’s wholly owned subsidiary in China."


"At the current market price of Rs 140, the stock is trading at a P/E of 15.05x and 12.32x of FY09E and FY10E earnings of Rs 13.37 and Rs 16.34 respectively. We recommend BUY rating on the stock with a target price of Rs 229/- (63% upside) in 18 months implying a P/E multiple of 14x of FY10E earnings," says SKP Securities' research report.



Angel Broking on Jagran Prakashan - Target of Rs 70


Angel Broking has maintained its buy rating on Jagran Prakashan with a target price of Rs 70 in its November 28, 2008 research report. "Amid mounting problems for India’s print industry, a silver lining is starting to appear in the form of some easing in newsprint prices. Until now, newsprint prices, one of the largest cost factors for print media, had been rising since mid-2007 contributing to weakening profitability at most of India’s print media firms. Newsprint buyers at media houses say the situation is starting to become more favourable and they hope to drive down prices by USD 100-200 (Rs 4,990-9,980) per tonne when fresh contracts are signed in January."


"Currently, newsprint is available in the spot market at much lower prices than the listed price and buyers are taking that as a cue for lower prices in January. The average official price for imported newsprint in India for the current quarter is USD 960 per tonne. The cost of newsprint generally accounts for 55-65% of the total cost of a newspaper’s operation and a big surge, from USD 560 per tonne in early 2007 to USD 960, had sharply eaten into profitability of publishers, most of who resorted to reducing pages, copies printed or switching to inferior, domestic newsprint. Adding to their woes, an unexpectedly unfavourable exchange rate also dealt a blow as one dollar that could be bought for Rs 40.30 in March, now costs about Rs50, effectively raising the price of newsprint by another 20%. We believe this is a positive development for Print Media companies and maintain Buy on Jagran Prakashan with a target price of Rs 70," says Angel's research report.


Angel Broking on HT Media - Target of Rs 99


Angel Broking has maintained its buy rating on HT Media with a target price of Rs 99 in its November 28, 2008 research report. "Amid mounting problems for India’s print industry, a silver lining is starting to appear in the form of some easing in newsprint prices. Until now, newsprint prices, one of the largest cost factors for print media, had been rising since mid-2007 contributing to weakening profitability at most of India’s print media firms. Newsprint buyers at media houses say the situation is starting to become more favourable and they hope to drive down prices by USD 100-200 (Rs 4,990-9,980) per tonne when fresh contracts are signed in January."


"Currently, newsprint is available in the spot market at much lower prices than the listed price and buyers are taking that as a cue for lower prices in January. The average official price for imported newsprint in India for the current quarter is USD 960 per tonne. The cost of newsprint generally accounts for 55-65% of the total cost of a newspaper’s operation and a big surge, from USD 560 per tonne in early 2007 to USD 960, had sharply eaten into profitability of publishers, most of who resorted to reducing pages, copies printed or switching to inferior, domestic newsprint. Adding to their woes, an unexpectedly unfavourable exchange rate also dealt a blow as one dollar that could be bought for Rs 40.30 in March, now costs about Rs 50, effectively raising the price of newsprint by another 20%. We believe this is a positive development for Print Media companies and maintain Buy on HT Media with a target price of Rs 99," says Angel's research report.

Monday, January 19, 2009

Stock views on Welspun Gujarat, Sanwaria Agro Oils, Indraprastha Gas, Indian Oil Corporation

KRChoksey on Indraprastha Gas - Target of Rs 130


KRChoksey Research has recommended a buy rating on Indraprastha Gas with a target price of Rs 130 in its November 13, 2008 research report. "IGL reported net sales of Rs 215.2 crore, up 23.6% Y-o-Y, on the back of increase in volume of CNG by 22.7% and PNG by 26.7% to 117.2 million Kg and 13.3 mmscm respectively. We recommended a BUY on the stock with target price of Rs 130, giving an upside potential of 23%. At the target price the stock would be valued at 9.0x and 7.6x its FY09E & FY10E EPS of Rs 14.5 and Rs 17.0 respectively," says KRChoksey's research report.



KRChoksey on Sanwaria Agro Oils - Target of Rs 45


KRChoksey has recommended a buy rating on Sanwaria Agro Oils with a target of Rs 45 in its report. The geographical benefits which the company enjoys on account of all its plants being located in the state of MP (largest producer of soybean seeds) is a key advantage over its peers. Further, SAOL will benefit from setting up of wind turbine generators which will bring down the operating cost and thus enhance margins by 230bps. We expect the profit margins to improve going forward as interest rates cool down."


"At CMP of Rs 32, the stock is trading at 6.4x FY08 earnings of Rs 4.98. We recommend a “BUY” rating on the stock with a price target of Rs 45 based on our P/E valuation, with an upside potential of 41% from current levels. At the target price, the stock would be valued at 6.6x FY09 EPS of 6.8," says KRChoksey's research report



Asit C. Mehta on Welspun Gujarat - Target of Rs 190


Asit C. Mehta has maintained its buy rating on Welspun Gujarat Stahl Roh with a revised target price of Rs 190 in its November 13, 2008 research report. "WGSRL has an order book of USD 2 billion, which provides revenue visibility until FY10. Current orders sufice current capacity. As new capacity becomes operational, the company should attract orders. However, with the current global credit crisis we expect new orders to come in at a slower pace."


"We believe that the company will benefit in the near term on account of the capex it has incurred in the pipes segment. We therefore maintain a positive outlook on the stock and reiterate a “BUY” recommendation with a revised target price of Rs 190, which is equivalent to a P/E multiple of 5 times its FY10E EPS," says Asit C. Mehta's research report.


Indiabulls Securities on IOC - Target of Rs 479


Indiabulls Securities Research has upgraded its rating on Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) to buy with a target price of Rs 479 in its November 26, 2008 research report. "With global oil prices at their peak in Q2’09, Indian Oil Corporation Limited (IOC) reported a net loss of Rs 70.5 billion as it was unable to pass the full effect of the price increase because of government controls. We have revised our estimates to incorporate the effect of the recent fall in the crude prices and the depreciating rupee. Based on our relative valuation, we have arrived at a target price of Rs 479, which provides an upside potential of 17%. Thus, we have upgraded our rating on the stock to Buy," says Indiabulls Securities' research report.

Sunday, January 18, 2009

Stock Views on on Infosys Technologies, NTPC, Sadbhav Engineering, Orchid Chemicals



Motilal Oswal on Infosys Technologies - Target of Rs 1640


Motilal Oswal has maintained its buy rating on Infosys Technologies with a target of Rs 1640 in its November 14, 2008 research report. "Infosys reported in-line revenue growth of 5.3% QoQ and 18.9% YoY to USD 1,216 million for 2QFY09. Infosys guided for revenue of USD 4.72 billion-4.81 billion for FY09 v/s its earlier guidance of USD 4.97 billion-5.05 billion, implying 13-15% growth now v/s 19-21% growth earlier. The rupee revenue guidance for FY09 has been changed only marginally to Rs 213 billion-217 billion from Rs 213 billion-216 billion, implying growth of 28-30%. The company has maintained EPS guidance for the year at Rs 101.06 (the higher end), implying growth of 24%."

"We believe operating margins will be stable with a negative bias for 2HFY09. The company hired 17,299 employees in 1HFY09, which is 69% of the total guided gross hires for the year. We reduced our FY09 EPS estimate by 2% to Rs 100.4 and FY10 EPS estimate by 5% to Rs 109.1 and are revising our target price to Rs 1,640 (15x FY10E earnings) due to earnings growth deceleration to 17% over FY08-10 and prevailing uncertainties. Maintain Buy," says Motilal Oswal's research report.


Hem Securities on NTPC - Target of Rs 183


Hem Securities has initiated a buy rating on NTPC with a target price of Rs 183 in its November 15, 2008 research report. "The company has posted decent results for the quarter ended September 2008. The Net sales have surged to Rs 100911 million with a year over year growth of 25.87 per cent. Presently, the stock is trading at Rs 149 which is at 17.65 times to its earnings and 2.18 times to its book value of Rs 68.49. Since the stock seems to offer extremely good investment opportunities, we initiate a ‘BUY’ signal on the stock with a target price of Rs 183 in medium term investment horizon expecting an appreciation of about 22% from the current level of Rs 149," says Hem's research report.


Angel Broking on Sadbhav Engineering - Target of Rs 718


Angel Broking has maintained its buy rating on Sadbhav Engineering with a target price of Rs 718 in its November 12, 2008 research report. "For 2QFY2009, Sadbhav Engineering (SEL) reported Net Sales numbers, which were below our expectations. The company registered 22% yoy growth in Net Sales to Rs 124.2 crore (Rs 101.8 crore) as against our expectation of 41% growth at Rs 143 crore. We value, SEL at 6x FY2010E standalone Earnings assigning Rs 430 per share. We value SEL’s portfolio of BOT assets at Rs 399 crore (Rs 420 crore earlier), contributing Rs 288 per share excluding NSEL Annuity project, which we believe has no value while factoring in current increased cost of financing and arrive at a conservative SOTP Target Price of Rs 718 (Rs 1,036). We maintain a Buy on the stock," says Angel's research report.


Reliance Money on Orchid Chemicals - Target of Rs 176


Reliance Money has recommended a buy rating on Orchid Chemicals and Pharmaceuticals with a target of Rs 176 in its November 14, 2008 research report. "Orchid Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals Ltd (Orchid) reported 19% growth in consolidated revenues on a higher base to Rs 3484.5 million during Q2FY09. As per revised estimates, we expect the Revenue and profit (excluding forex loss) would grow at a CAGR of 15% and 16%, respectively during FY08-10E. Thus, the revised EPS (excluding forex loss) stands at Rs 14 and Rs 22.9 for FY09E and FY10E, respectively."


"But the positive part of Orchid is that FCCBs have sufficient time horizon for conversion and the company does not hedge its revenues, which could benefit the company from the weakening Rupee scenario in the near term. In line with our changed estimate based on consolidated numbers and in order to align our valuation with market valuation, we are revising our target price. In fact, to capture the market wide correction in valuations, we have reduced the earning multiple by 35% and revise target price to Rs 176 (i.e. 8x FY10E EPS),Buy," says Reliance Money's research report.

Saturday, January 17, 2009

Stock Views on Wipro, IVRCL Infrastructure, Syndicate Bank, Tech Mahindra

Anand Rathi on Wipro - Target of Rs 325


Anand Rathi Securities has recommended a buy rating on Wipro with a target price of Rs 325 in its November 17, 2008 research report. "Wipro has built considerable scale in the IMS space (largest practice among Indian IT companies) and has been able to build on the leads. Wipro has undertaken several initiatives, such as hiring at a slower pace and focusing on internal processes, which have resulted in revenue growth overtaking volume growth. Wipro trades at 9.6x FY09 and 10.8x FY10 estimated earnings."


"We rate it a Buy with a target price of Rs 325 at a target PE multiple of 11.8x its one-year forward earnings. At our target price, the stock would trade at 7.6x EV/EBITDA our one-year forward estimates. Our DCF valuation for Wipro assumes an 8.5% risk-free rate, a 6% risk premium and a 3% terminal growth rate. The DCF-based fair value, after taking estimated growth till FY10 and 11% growth during FY10-15, is Rs 320," says Anand Rathi's research report.


KRChoksey on IVRCL Infra - Target of Rs 198


KRChoksey Research has recommended a buy rating on IVRCL Infrastructure, with price target of Rs 198, in its report. "At the CMP of Rs 140, IVRCL is trading at 7.8x TTM EPS of Rs 17.8 and 8.8x FY09E EPS of Rs 15.6. We anticipate slowdown in order inflow and an increase in interest expense, which will impact the revenue and net profit margins of the company. We have reduced our EPS estimates for FY09 and FY10 by 10% & 9.8% respectively. We therefore downgrade our target price from Rs 381 to Rs 198, maintaining a BUY rating, with an upside potential of 41.4%," says KRChoksey's research report.


Karvy on Syndicate Bank - Target of Rs 71


Karvy Stock Broking has maintained its buy rating on Syndicate Bank with a target of Rs 71 in its November 17, 2008 research report. "In 2QFY09, Syndicate Bank's net interest income grew by 53% (Y/Y) to Rs 7.5 billion. Overall the bank posted good set of numbers; we re-iterate our BUY rating on the stock with a target price of Rs 71," says Karvy Stock Broking's research report.


Anand Rathi on Tech Mahindra - Target of Rs 430


Anand Rathi Securities has recommended a buy rating on Tech Mahindra with a target price of Rs 430 in its November 17, 2008 research report. "We initiate coverage on Tech Mahindra with a Buy and a target price of Rs 430. We expect its domain expertise (telecom), revenue visibility and robust cash flow performance to drive revenue CAGR of 16.4% over FY08-11," says Anand Rathi's research report.

Friday, January 16, 2009

Stock Views on JMC Project, C and C Constuctions, Aegis Logistics, Sobha Developers

KRChoksey on JMC Project - Target of Rs 97


KRChoksey Research has maintained its buy rating on JMC Projects (India) with a target of Rs 97 in its November 17, 2008 research report. "Company’s sales increased by 76.4% y-o-y to Rs 325.5 crore. The PAT was flat at Rs 6.8 crores. We have reduced our sales estimates for FY09, as there is no visibility of fresh order inflows. However, we anticipate order execution will be at expected pace. The EBITDA margins have been revised downward, mainly due to an increasing trend in construction expenses."

"Interest cost estimates have been revised upwards due to an increase in interest cost during the quarter. It will impact the PAT margins of the company by 27bps. We have given additional liquidity discount of 10% to company’s multiples. We therefore downgrade our target price to Rs 97, maintaining a BUY rating, with an upside potential of 51.5%," says KRChoksey's research report.


KRChoksey on C and C Constuctions - Target of Rs 137


KRChoksey Research has maintained its buy rating on C and C Constuctions with a target of Rs 137 in its November 14, 2008 research report. "Company’s sales increased by 162% yoy to Rs 129 crore on the back of strong order book position. PAT was flat at Rs 4.95 crores. We have revised our sales estimates for the year upwards by 8.6% due to fresh inflow of orders. However, we anticipate slowdown in order execution thus affecting the topline. The EBITDA margins have been maintained owing to falling commodity prices. An increase in debt levels of the company is anticipated, which will impact the PAT margins of the company. We therefore downgrade our target price from Rs 265 to Rs 137, maintaining a BUY rating, with an upside potential of 25.6%," says KRChoksey's research report.



KRChoksey Aegis Logistics - Target of Rs 96


KRChoksey Research has recommended a buy rating on Aegis Logistics with a target of Rs 96 in its November 17, 2008 research report. "Net sales increased 42.5% y-o-y to Rs 130.9 crore driven by strong growth in both gas (47.6%) and liquid logistics (18.0%) divisions. Net profit dipped 13.0% y-o-y to Rs 7.8 crore."

"In the long run, we firmly believe that the key upside to Aegis’ story is its Auto Gas business, which is likely to be driven by the company’s strong expansion plan and increasing price differential between Auto LPG, with respect to diesel and petrol. At CMP of Rs 67, the stock is trading at 3.2x on FY09E EPS of Rs 20.7. We recommend a BUY on this stock with target price of Rs 96, which represents an upside potential of 43.3%," says KRChoksey's research report.


Emkay Global on Sobha Developers - Target of Rs 155


Emkay Global Financial Services has maintained its buy rating on Sobha Developers with a target of Rs 155 in its November 7, 2008 research report. "Net revenues decreased by 9.3% YoY to Rs 3.0 billion. PAT decreased by 13.0% YoY to Rs 490 million. We are revising our NAV estimates to Rs 367 / share (previous Rs 973), due to a) increase in cost of funds b) delay in projects c) factoring current net debt d) decrease in average realisations and rentals from commercial properties and e) increase in cap rate. We however maintain our BUY rating on the stock with target price of Rs 155 (earlier Rs 554) based on 60% discount to NAV and 2x EV / EBITDA of its contractual income," says Emkay Global Financial Services' research report.

Thursday, January 15, 2009

Stock Views on CEAT, JK Tyre, Sunil Hitech Engineers, Blue Dart, Unichem Labs

Angel on Ceat - Target of Rs 43


Angel Broking has recommended a buy rating on Ceat with a target price of Rs 43 in its November 21, 2008 research report. "The current global economic situation also hampers the possibility of large scale exports, though the global price is higher by Rs 22 per kg (Bangkok — Rs 87) than the price in the Indian market. But, there is no hurry in the industry, especially the tyre manufacturers, to stock rubber heavily. The Tyre industry strongly believes that the price would further decline and Rs 50 seems to be within reach. We recommend a Buy on CEAT with target price of Rs 43," says Angel's research report.


Angel on JK Tyre - Target Rs 57


Angel Broking has recommended a buy rating on JK Tyre and Industries with a target of Rs 57 in its November 21, 2008 research report. "The current global economic situation also hampers the possibility of large scale exports, though the global price is higher by Rs 22 per kg (Bangkok — Rs 87) than the price in the Indian market. But, there is no hurry in the industry, especially the tyre manufacturers, to stock rubber heavily. The Tyre industry strongly believes that the price would further decline and Rs 50 seems to be within reach. We recommend a Buy on JK Tyre with target price of Rs 57," says Angel's research report.


Karvy on Unichem Labs - Target of Rs 270


Karvy Stock Broking has maintained its buy rating on Unichem Laboratories with a target price of Rs 270 in its November 21, 2008 research report. "We have decreased our formulations exports by 9 % to Rs 900 million for FY09 while we have maintained domestic API revenues of Rs 200 million for FY 09 and FY 10 respectively. We have also marginally decreased our R & D expenses for FY 2009 while we increase our personnel expenses for FY 2010 in lieu of higher increment in next year. In FY 2009 the company's personnel cost are not anticipated to increase much as the company's performance was subdued in FY 2008. We have marginally increased our EPS estimates for FY 2009 by 0.8% to Rs 26.3 and have reduced our EPS for FY 2010 by 3.6 % to Rs 34.8. We maintain BUY rating on the stock with a price target of Rs 270 based on 7.75x (FY 2010E EPS Rs 34.8)," says Karvy's research report.


KRChoksey on Blue Dart - Target of Rs 520


KRChoksey Research has recommended a buy rating on Blue Dart Express with a target price of Rs 520 in its November 19, 2008 research report. "Net sales increased 27.8% y-o-y and 8.6% q-o-q to Rs 265.8 crore driven by increase in the average pricing (15-20% in air cargo charges and 10-15% in the ground network service charges). We recommend a BUY on this stock with target price of Rs 520, which represents an upside potential of 21.8%," says KRChoksey's research report.


KRChoksey on Sunil Hitech Engineers - Target of Rs 127


KRChoksey Research has recommended a buy rating on Sunil Hitech Engineers with a target price of Rs 127 in its November 18, 2008 research report. "Net sales surged by 88.7% (YoY) to Rs 131.1 crore in Q2FY09 as against Rs 69.5 crore in Q2FY08. On back of large scale investment in Power sector, integration of company’s business, core competence of management, strong order book and client base, we recommend a BUY on the stock with the target price of Rs 127," says KRChoksey's research report.

Wednesday, January 14, 2009

Stock views on Bharti Airtel, Triveni Engineering, VST Tillers, Time Technoplast

Anand Rathi on Bharti Airtel - Target of Rs 850

Anand Rathi Securities has initiated a buy rating on Bharti Airtel with a target price of Rs 850 in its November 22, 2008 research report. "We believe Bharti offers a rare combination of high quality, solid and visible earnings growth at attractive valuations. The company is best placed to ride regulatory bumps, thanks to its superior scale and strong balance sheet. We initiate with a Buy and Sep ’09 target price of Rs 850," says Anand Rathi's research report.

PINC Research on Time Techno - Target of Rs 50

PINC Research has maintained its buy rating on Time Technoplast with a target of Rs 50 in its November 21, 2008 research report. "We have moderated our outlook primarily due to the deteriorating economic conditions. Even though feedstock prices continue to ease, we believe the bigger threat to earnings is from lower offtake from the auto sector. We remain confident of the company’s ability to sustain margins in the 19-20% band and maintain our ‘BUY’ recommendation, but have revised downwards our price target to Rs 50 to reflect the lower earnings," says PINC's research report.

PINC Research on Triveni Engineering - Target of Rs 45

PINC Research has upgraded its rating on Triveni Engineering to buy with a target of Rs 45 in its November 21, 2008 research report. "Triveni Engineering and Industries Ltd. (TEIL) reported a YoY growth of 41% in net sales to Rs 4.3 billion for Q4FY08. Net profits surged by 5.4x to Rs 270 million. Although we expect the profitability to be impacted by higher cane price, we believe the same would be partially compensated by liquidation of low cost sugar of SS 07-08 and better distillery product prices. Hence, we upgrade our recommendation to ‘BUY’ with a price target of Rs 45 (valuing at 6.5x) on a one year investment perspective," says PINC's research report.

Sunidhi Securities on VST Tillers - Target of Rs 135

Sunidhi Securities & Finance has recommended a buy rating on VST Tillers Tractors with a target of Rs 135 in its November 21, 2008 research report. "During Q2FY09 OP & NP margins stood at 16.7 and 10% against 13.7 and 7.2% respectively. During H1FY09 OP margin has moved up from 13.1% to 14.6% and net margin surged from 7% to 8.3%. VSTTL expects to continue its progress in establishing a sizeable market share for power tillers in states such as West Bengal, Karnataka, Orissa and Andhra Pradesh during the coming years. This apart, the prospects of exporting power tillers appear to be bright."

"During FY09, sales are expected to go up by 40% to Rs 260 crore and net profit by 45 per cent to Rs 20.9 crore, which would yield an EPS of Rs 36. We recommend BUY with a target of Rs 135 in the medium term. The 52-Week high and the low of the share has been Rs 259/88," says Sunidhi Securities & Finance's research report.

Tuesday, January 13, 2009

Stock Views on City Union Bank, Reliance Communications, Rolta India, Tata Motors

Angel on Tata Motors - Target Rs 339





Angel Broking has maintained its buy rating on Tata Motors with a target price of Rs 339 in its November 24, 2008 research report. "Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) is in secret talks with the UK government for a £1-billion loan and an answer to the request would be made in the next fortnight, a media report said. Tata is looking to the government for a bridging loan to help it over the next 24 months, a period in which the industry will come under further financial pressure when it is difficult to access funding markets, the report added. The economic downturn has hit the auto industry hard and at present a number of large UK-based industrial groups are also considering asking the government for financial support."



"The market for JLR cars has fallen 25% around the world and this could further deteriorate in near term. JLR has already cut shifts and production days at Solihull, Halewood and Castle Bromwich. The Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders, which is representing the interests of the wider British industry, is thought to want between £2 billion and £3 billion of state aid. Meanwhile, Toyota has also cut shifts at its UK plants, and Bentley, the luxury carmaker majority-owned by Volkswagen of Germany, has cut shifts at its plant in Crewe. We maintain Buy on Tata Motors with Target price of Rs 339," says Angel's research report.





Karvy on City Union Bank - Target of Rs 31





Karvy Stock Broking has maintained its buy rating on City Union Bank with a target of Rs 31 in its November 24, 2008 research report. "Going forward, we believe that lending and deposits rates would further moderate and incidence of slippages due to higher interest rates would decline but due to lesser growth prospects across industries slippages would increase eventually increasing gross NPA."



"We estimate the bank's NIM for FY09 to drift down by 21 bps to 3.1%. We estimate that the bank's total business and bottomline would grow at 23% and 11% CAGR (during 2008-10) and the bank's book value and adjusted book value would be Rs 24 and Rs 22 respectively; we value the bank at 1.42x adjusted book value FY2010 at Rs 31. We re-iterate our BUY rating with a target price of Rs 31," says Karvy Stock Broking's research report.




Karvy on Rolta India - Target of Rs 220





Karvy Stock Broking has recommended a buy rating on Rolta India with a target of Rs 220 in its November 24, 2008 research report. "We do not expect the margins take any beating and are likely to stay at the current levels of 36%. Even after factoring M-to-M losses of Rs 900 million (as a result of FCCB) in FY09, the profits at the net level would modestly go down by 2.1%."





"The company is contemplating to reduce its foreign currency loans, and if it does reduces the same the company would be entitled reverse the M-to-M losses in FY10, which would give big boost to its earnings, even if the company writes off goodwill over the next 5 years. We have an BUY rating on the stock with a price target of Rs 220," says Karvy Stock Broking's research report.





Anand Rathi on Reliance Communications - Target of Rs 275





Anand Rathi Securities has recommended a buy rating on Reliance Communications with a target price of Rs 275 in its November 22, 2008 research report. "After two dismal quarters, RCOM’s operating performance is likely to show signs of recovery in the coming 1-2 quarters. With several sources of potential upside, the stock offers attractive ST reward/risk ratio. Buy, target of Rs 275," says Anand Rathi's research report.

Monday, January 12, 2009

Stock Views on Idea Cellular, Country Club, Mphasis, Nagarjuna Construction

Prabhudas Lilladher on Idea Cellular - Target of Rs 94


Prabhudas Lilladher has initiated an accumulate rating on Idea Cellular with a target of Rs 94 in its September 19, 2008 research report. " We initiate coverage on Idea cellular with an accumulate rating and a DCF based target price of Rs 94 (WACC=13%, Terminal growth rate=3%). Idea cellular is in the early stage of wireless coverage and at least 3-4 years away from attaining maturity. Further, new rollouts are currently gestation businesses (with around 10-12 quarters away from breaking even). Hence, we have used DCF as our prime tool to capture the true potential of the business," says Prabhudas Lilladher research report.


Prabhudas Lilladher on Country Club - Target of Rs 797



Prabhudas Lilladher has maintained its buy rating on Country Club (India) (CCIL) with a target of Rs 797 in its September 20, 2008 research report. "CCIL’s aggressive expansion plans in terms of acquiring properties and offering comprehensive range of products to its clients has helped the company to grow at CAGR of 210.8% over last three years to Rs 3.18 billion in FY08. At the CMP of Rs 270, the stock trades at 4.5x FY09E and 2.7x FY10E earnings."

"We believe that CCIL should trade at a premium to the current valuations, given its strong revenue and profit growth. We maintain BUY rating on the stock with a target price of Rs 797 (8x FY10E)," says Prabhudas Lilladher's research report.


Emkay Global on Mphasis - Target of Rs 240


Emkay Global Financial Services has maintained its buy rating on Mphasis with a price target of Rs 240 in its December 1, 2008 research report. "Mphasis reported revenues of Rs 3282 million, with operating margins at 26.5%, up by 530 bps V/s September’08 quarter, highest in the company's reporting history for Oct ’08. Net profits for October '08 came in at Rs 754 million helped by translation gains as well as tax credits (effective tax rate for the month at <1%).">Angel on Nagarjuna Construction - Target of Rs 96


Angel Broking has maintained its buy rating on Nagarjuna Construction Company with a target price of Rs 96 in its December 2, 2008 research report. "Nagarjuna Construction Company (NCC), a diversified infrastructure player has bagged six orders aggregating to Rs 484 crore. The orders secured are related to construction of buildings at various regions across the country spanning construction works related from 5 star Hotels to Educational institutions. The order sizes vary from Rs 36 crore to Rs 121 crore and are to be executed over a period varying between 12 months to 21 months. With accretion of these orders, the outstanding order book of NCC stands at Rs 13,440 crore which is 3.9x FY2008 revenues. We maintain a Buy on the stock, with a target price of Rs 96," says Angel's research report.

Sunday, January 11, 2009

Stock Views on SBI, Balrampur Chini, Zee News, PSL

Karvy on SBI - Target Rs 1559

Karvy Stock Broking has maintained its buy rating on State Bank of India (SBI) with a target price of Rs 1559 in its October 31, 2008 research report. "In 2QFY09, State Bank of India's net interest income grew by 45% (Y/Y) to Rs 54.5 billion much higher than our estimates (of Rs 45.6 billion) mainly due to much higher credit growth and higher yield on advances. SBI's net profit reported 40% jump (Y/Y) to Rs 2.6 billion growth due to reversal in investment depreciation. We reiterate BUY rating with a price target of Rs 1559," says Karvy's research report.

SBICAP Securities on PSL - Target of Rs 181

SBICAP Securities has maintained its buy rating on PSL with price target of Rs 181 in its November 21, 2008 research report. "At the CMP of Rs 95, PSL is trading at a PE of 2.8x and 2.1x its FY08E and FY09E earning respectively. EV / EBITDA is at 3.9x and 3.2x FY08E and FY09E respectively. We initiate coverage on PSL with a buy rating and 12 month price target of Rs 181 implying an upside of 90%," says SBICAP Securities' research report.

Karvy on Balrampur Chini - Target of Rs 55

Karvy Stock Broking has recommended a buy rating on Balrampur Chini Mills with a target of Rs 55 in its December 4, 2008 research report. "Balrampur Chin Mill (BCML) reported revenue increase of 40.8% YoY (QoQ increase of 30.2%) to Rs 4.11 billion mainly on account of higher sugar and distillery revenue in the Q4FY08. The company reported profit of Rs 145 million translating into EPS of Rs 0.57 for the quarter."

"The company is expected to report loss of Rs 240 million in FY09 and profit of Rs 1.26 billion in FY10. We have assumed cane cost of Rs 140 per quintal in FY09 and Rs 148 per quintal in FY10. Considering lower profitability in sugar and uncertainty on cane cost, we continue our valuation based on replacement cost method. We are revising our valuation of EV/ Ton from Rs 0.35 million to Rs 0.3 million with target price of Rs 55 (Previous Rs 68), Buy," says Karvy Stock Broking's research report.

Prabhudas Lilladher Zee News - Target of Rs 57

Prabhudas Lilladher has recommended an accumulate rating on Zee News (ZNL) with a target of Rs 57 in its September 24, 2008 research report. "We expect the company to post 24% and 37% revenue and earnings CAGR, respectively in FY08-11E. The stock currently trades at 22.9x and 16.8x our FY09E and FY10E earnings estimates and remains one of the cheapest stocks in our broadcasting universe. We assume coverage on ZNL with a Accumulate rating and a target price of Rs 57," says Prabhudas Lilladher's research report.

Saturday, January 10, 2009

Stock Views on HEG, Bharati Shipyard, Phillips Carbon, Mercator Lines

SKP Securities on HEG - Target Rs 319

SKP Securities has maintained its buy rating on HEG with a target price of Rs 319 in its October 31, 2008 research report. "Net sales were up 14.61% for Q2FY09 at Rs 295.39 crores. At the current level of Rs 135.25 and excluding the investment value ,HEGL is trading at 2.74 x FY09E earnings and 1.74 x FY10E earnings of Rs. 35.90 and Rs 56.58 respectively. We have valued the core business of the company at 5 x FY10E earnings, taking value of the stock to Rs 282.91 per share. The value of the company is further increased by Rs 37 per share by discounting HEGL's investment value in Bhilwara Energy Ltd. by 50%. We maintain our BUY recommendation on the stock with a target price of Rs 319 per share, upside potential of 137%," says SKP Securities' research report.

Angel on Bharati Shipyard - Target of Rs 179

Angel Broking has recommended buy rating on the Bharati Shipyard with a target price of Rs 179 in its October 29, 2008 report.“Bharati is one of the leading companies in the Shipbuilding space in India. It has a healthy Order-book position and expects to augment it on getting more clarity on the possible delivery schedules that it can provide clients. The company is also ramping up its production capacity. The company envisages no problem in augmenting its Order book as it caters to the niche segment of off-shore vessels where demand continues to be strong on account of the attractive crude oil prices. Also, the company does not expect any order cancellations to happen as its charges all its customers 20% advance at the time of booking the order, and shipbuilding being a long drawn process involving 2-3 years, buyers have to make bookings with a long-term prospective.”

“We are downgrading our diluted EPS estimate for FY2010E to Rs44.7 (Rs49.4) on the back of expected increase in labour and other operating costs. We are downgrading our FY2010E Target PE multiple to 4x (7x previously) revised 18-month Target Price of Rs 179 (previously 12-month Target Price of Rs 346). However, at current levels, Bharati is trading at an attractive PE of 1.5x FY2010E Earnings and 0.2x FY2010E P/BV. We maintain a Buy in the stock,” says Angel's research report.

Angel on Phillips Carbon - Target Rs 134

Angel Broking has recommended a buy rating on the Phillips Carbon Black with a target price of Rs 134 in its October 29, 2008 report. “India’s economic growth is expected to slow down in FY2009 to 8% as the RBI keeps a tight Monetary Policy and the government initiates a slew of measures to rein in inflation ahead of Parliamentary elections next year. Interest rates have also spiked substantially, which would impact the Interest rate-sensitive sectors including the Auto sector. Invariably, the Tyre industry would also get affected. But, around 60% of the Tyre demand is from the Replacement segment, which cushions companies like PCBL which are directly dependent on the Tyre industry growth rate.”

“There would continue to be huge demand from the Tyre Replacement segment due to the huge vehicle population getting added over the years, and because of PCBL’s market leadership position it would stand to benefit. We expect PCBL to record CAGR of 21.2% in Top-line over FY2008-10, while Bottom-line would grow at a CAGR of 3.1% in the mentioned period. At the CMP, the stock is trading at 2.2x FY2009E and 1.7x FY2010E Earnings and 3.4x FY2010E EV/EBITDA. We maintain a Buy on the stock, with a revised Target Price of Rs134 (Rs219). We revise the Target P/E multiple downwards to 4x FY2010E in line with the valuation contraction in broader indices,” says Angel's research report.

Networth on Mercator Lines - Target Rs 147-160

Networth Stock Broking has maintained its buy rating on Mercator Lines with a target price range of Rs 147-160 in its October 31, 2008 research report. "Net sales for Q2FY09 have increased by 75.9% to Rs 6493 million against Rs 3690.9 million in Q2FY08. Coal mining Operation contributed 5.7% to this growth. Mercator lines has sold 129000 MT of coal in Q2FY09."

"Going forward we believe MLL to post an EPS of Rs 15 in FY09 and Rs 24.6 in FY10. Apart from this the coal mining operations in Indonesia have began which started contributing to the earnings. At a CMP of Rs 33.55, the stock is trading at P/E of 2.4x and P/BV of 0.89x its FY08 earnings. We have valued the stock at 6x- 6.5x its FY10E consolidated earnings and so our target price range is Rs 147-160. We maintain our ‘BUY’ recommendation on the stock," says Networth's research report.

Friday, January 9, 2009

Stock Views on Tech Mahindra, Tata Steel, Reliance Industries, Jindal Saw

Emkay Global on Tech Mahindra - Target Rs 320

Emkay Global Financial Services has maintained its buy rating on Tech Mahindra with a target of Rs 320 in its December 3, 2008 research report. "We revise our estimates for currency assumptions (we base H2FY09 estimates at GBP/USD of 1.5 and 1.4 for FY10/FY11, USD/INR at Rs 47/USD and Rs 46/USD for H2FY09/FY10 and FY11 respectively). We note that Tech M’s estimated volume growth could all be nullified on account of currency alone during FY10."

"We expect TechM to report earnings of Rs 60.9 and Rs 66.7 in FY10 and FY11 respectively. Despite expecting 14% decline in earnings during FY10, we believe that inexpensive valuations limit any significant downside from current levels. We maintain BUY with a revised target price of Rs 320, based on 6x adjusted FY10 earnings of Rs 53.4," says Emkay Global Financial Services' research report.


Motilal Oswal on Tata Steel - Target of Rs 361


Motilal Oswal has maintained its buy rating on Tata Steel with a target of Rs 361 in its December 3, 2008 research report. "Consolidated 2QFY09 adjusted PAT increased 256% YoY to Rs 51.7 billion v/s estimate of Rs 27.2 billion. Reported PAT of Rs 47 billion includes forex loss of Rs 4 billion. Net sales increased 36% YoY to Rs 442 billion driven largely by price increase. Tata Steel will continue to pursue its expansions at Jamshedpur and Orissa because these are high return projects. The stock trades at P/E of 1.9x FY10E and EV/EBITDA of 3.7x FY10E. Maintain Buy, target of Rs 361," says Motilal Oswal's research report.


Angel on Reliance Industries - Target Rs 1880


Angel Broking has maintained its buy rating on Reliance Industries with a target price of Rs 1880 in its December 5, 2008 research report. "The government has asked Reliance Industries (RIL) to supply natural gas from the company's eastern offshore D6 fields to the beleaguered Dabhol power plant, a segment that gets top preference for gas allocation along with fertiliser units. A Petroleum Ministry statement said that gas to the Ratnagiri Gas and Power (Dabhol) plant would be within the overall allocation of 18 mmscmd for the Power Sector, while detailing customers for the initial 40 million standard cubic meters per day of gas to be produced from Krishna Godavari basin D6 field."

"It has been decided that RGPPL be supplied 1.4 mmscmd during January to March 2009 and 2.7 mmscmd during April to September 2009, subject to commencement of production, within the overall allocation of power sector (18 mmscmd). Regarding pricing, it has been decided that D6 gas would be sold to all customers at the rate of $4.2 per million British thermal unit (mmBtu) if crude oil price averaged greater or equal to $60 per barrel in the year preceding the sale. As per the gas utilisation policy approved by the Empowered Group of Ministers (EGoM), Reliance is to first supply gas to existing gas-based urea plants and then give 3 mmscmd to LPG plants. Thereafter, up to 18 mmscmd of gas was to be given to gas-based power plants that were lying idle/under-utilised or likely to be commissioned during 2008-09. We maintain a Buy on RIL, with a target price of Rs 1,880," Angel's research report.


Asit C. Mehta on Jindal Saw - Target of Rs 530


Asit C. Mehta has maintained its buy rating on Jindal Saw with a revised target price of Rs 530 in its October 29, 2008 research report. "In Q3CY08, JSL’s sales increased to Rs 14,855.3 million. from Rs 14,286.1 million in Q3CY07. Sales growth was low at 4%, as JSL sold its US operations in 2007, which contributed 30% to sales in Q3 CY2007. We believe that the company will benefit in the near term on account of the capex incurred in the pipes segment. We therefore maintain positive outlook on the stock and reiterate a “BUY” recommendation with a revised target price of Rs 530, which is equivalent to a P/E multiple of 7 times to its FY10E EPS," says Asit C. Mehta's research report.

Thursday, January 8, 2009

Indiabulls Securities views on NTPC, Bharat Forge, Jindal Steel, Tata Power

NTPC, target of Rs 194


Indiabulls Securities Research has upgraded its rating on NTPC to buy with a target of Rs 194 in its November 11, 2008 research report. "NTPC clocked revenues to the tune of Rs 96.6 billion for Q2’09. Net profit for the quarter increased 9.6% yoy to Rs 21.1 billion. After the recent correction, we believe NTPC’s stock should prove to be a good buy. Based on our DCF valuation, we have arrived at a target price of Rs 194, assuming a terminal growth rate of 5% and a WACC of 10.5%. Since our target price implies an upside of 28% from the CMP, we upgrade our rating to Buy," says Indiabulls Securities' research report.


Bharat Forge - Target of Rs 130


Indiabulls Securities Research has maintained its buy rating on Bharat Forge with a target of Rs 130 in its November 21, 2008 research report. "Bharat Forge (BFL)’s stock has plunged 63%. At the current market price (CMP) of Rs 92.40, the stock is trading at a forward P/E of 8.3x and 8.1x for its FY09E and FY10E earnings, respectively. We have valued BFL by using the DCF valuation methodology, assuming a WACC of 13.1% and a terminal growth rate of 5%."

"Our valuation suggests a target price of Rs 130, which provides a potential upside of more than 40% from the CMP. At the current levels, we believe that BFL is a compelling long-term investment. Hence, we maintain our Buy rating on the stock," says Indiabulls Securities' research report.


Jindal Steel - Target of Rs 1000


Indiabulls Securities Research has upgraded its rating on Jindal Steel & Power from hold to buy with price target of Rs 1000, in its report dated December 3, 2008. "We have valued the Company by using the Sum-of-the-Parts (SOTP) valuation technique. We have used the DCF methodology to value the standalone company, assuming a WACC of 13% and a terminal growth rate of 5%. Additionally, we have valued JPL at two times its estimated book value at the end of Q2’09. Our SOTP-based valuation of Rs. 921 suggests a potential upside of 18.6% from the current market price (CMP) of Rs 776.9. Given the growth potential of its power business and based on our valuation, we upgrade our rating on the stock from Hold to Buy," says Indiabulls Securities' research report.


Tata Power - Target of Rs 872


Indiabulls Securities Research has upgraded its rating on Tata Power Company with a target price of Rs 872 in its December 4, 2008 research report. "Tata Power Company Ltd. (TPC), a leading private power sector player, is expected to significantly ramp up its capacity in the coming years on the back of the 4,000 MW Mundra UMPP and the 1,050 MW Maithon power project. Based on our SOTP valuation, we have arrived at a target price of Rs 872. Thus, we have upgraded our rating from Hold to Buy," says Indiabulls Securities' research report.

Wednesday, January 7, 2009

Stock Views on Jubilant Organosys, Nagarjuna Construction, IOB, Axis Bank

Emkay Global on Jubilant Organosys - Target Rs 224


Emkay Global Financial Services has maintained its buy rating on Jubilant Organosys with a target of Rs 224 in its December 8, 2008 research report. "The stock price of Jubilant has come down by 31% in the last one month and has underperformed both- the Sensex as well as BSE healthcare index. We expect robust growth opportunities in outsourcing to be the key growth driver for the company. Being the largest CRAMS company in India, Jubilant is likely to capture a major share of the global outsourcing opportunity."


Prabhudas Lilladher on Nagarjuna Construction - Target Rs 90


Prabhudas Lilladher has upgraded its rating on Nagarjuna Construction Co from accumulate to buy with a target of Rs 90 in its December 4, 2008 research report. "The stock has also seen steep correction from its yearly highs and a robust order book along with lower interest and commodity rates makes it attractive at current levels. The company is also now expected to limit on road BOTs reducing business risk. We upgrade our rating from Accumulate to BUY, target of Rs 90," says Prabhudas Lilladher's research report.


Karvy Stock Broking on Indian Overseas Bank (IOB) - Target Rs 144


Karvy Stock Broking has maintained its buy rating on Indian Overseas Bank (IOB) with a target price of Rs 144 in its December 8, 2008 research report. "We are revising downward Indian Overseas Bank's earning estimates by 4.2% to Rs 11.7 billion in FY10 due to pressure on margin, reduced other income (mainly due to relatively negligible treasury income) and higher credit cost. Based on our revised estimates, we reduce our IOB's earning estimates by 4.2% Rs 11.7 billion in FY10 and revise downward our target price by 12.4% to Rs 144; we re-iterate our BUY rating with a target price of Rs144. Based on our target price the stock would trade at 1.52x adjusted book value FY10," says Karvy's research report.


ULJK Securities on Axis Bank - Target of Rs 596


ULJK Securities has recommended a buy rating on Axis Bank with a target of Rs 596 in its December 2, 2008 research report. "Axis Bank has been able to sustain a high growth in its loan book since the last five years and the Bank is able to maintain the same growth during H1FY09. The return ratios of the Bank are among one of the highest in the industry. Looking at its exponential growth prospects and the valuation, we believe the stock provides an investment opportunity for a decent return in the medium to long term. At our target price, Axis Bank will trade at a P/BV of 1.9x on the FY09E book value of Rs 277 and a P/BV of 1.6 on the FY10E book value of Rs 319, Buy," says ULJK Securities' research report.

Tuesday, January 6, 2009

Stock Vies on City Union Bank, Kesoram Inds, BHEL

Karvy on City Union Bank - Target of Rs 31

Karvy Stock Broking has maintained its buy rating on City Union Bank with a target of Rs 31 in its November 14, 2008 research report. "In 2QFY09, City Union Bank reported 26% growth (Y/Y) in net interest income to Rs 643 million. The bank's total business grew by 27% (Y/Y) to Rs 118 billion on the back of 28% growth in advances to Rs 49 billion and 27% growth in deposits to Rs 69 billion."

"In the quarterly result, robust growth in NII, stagnancy in CASA share and contained NPA levels were the key positives but the marginal decline in CXB income was slight dampener. Overall the quarterly result was marginally better than our expectations; we maintain our BUY rating with a target price of Rs 31," says Karvy Stock Broking's research report.

Motilal Oswal on Kesoram Industries

Motilal Oswal has maintained its buy rating on Kesoram Industries in its November 10, 2008 research report. "Cement business would benefit from the ongoing capacity addition (1.6mt), which would commission by Dec’08. Tyre business would benefit from Greenfield capacity at Uttarakhand, and would enjoy fiscal incentives, thereby driving volume growth and margin expansion. Also, softening rubber prices would also enhance profitability."

"We have revised our earnings estimate downwards by 6% for FY09E to Rs 75.9 and 15.8% for FY10E to Rs 68.6. Valuation at 1.8x FY09E EPS and 3.2x EV/EBITDA are very attractive and doesn’t fully reflect the upside of the capex being undertaken. Maintain Buy," says Motilal Oswal's research report.

Emkay Global on BHEL - Target of Rs 1520

Emkay Global Financial Services has maintained its buy rating on Bharat Heavy Electricals (BHEL) with a target of Rs 1520 in its November 12, 2008 research report. "Over the recent past BHEL stock has outperformed significantly. It outperformed Sensex by 22.1% over past 3 months and 12.3% over past 1 month. Similarly it has outperformed BSE Capital goods index by 20.2% over past 3 months and by 10.7% over past 1 month. Decent Q1 and Q2FY2009 numbers and significant drop in commodity prices can be attributed to this performance."

"Our earnings estimate for BHEL stands at Rs 73 for FY2009 and Rs 94 for FY2010. The stock trades at 18.7X its FY2009 and 14.6X its FY2010 earnings. Over a longer term we remain positive on BHEL and maintain our BUY with price target of Rs 1520. However we believe that near term order slowdown will impact stock performance," says Emkay Global Financial Services' research report.

Monday, January 5, 2009

Stock Views on Infosys, Syndicate Bank, HCC

Motilal Oswal on HCC - Target of Rs 60

Motilal Oswal has maintained its buy rating on Hindustan Construction Company (HCC) with a target of Rs 60 in its November 12, 2008 research report. "We expect HCC to report net profit of Rs 844 million in FY09 (a downgrade of 21%) and Rs 1.1 billion in FY10 (a downgrade of 37%), largely driven by slower execution and increased interest costs. This translates to an EPS of Rs 3.3/sh in FY09 (up 19% YoY) and Rs 4.4/sh in FY10 (up 34% YoY)."

"Based on SOTP valuation, we arrive at a price target of Rs 60/sh comprising: core business at Rs 35/sh (8x FY10E), Lavasa at Rs 20/sh (50% discount to NAV), Vikhroli Corporate Park Rs 5/sh (25% discount to NAV). HCC is trading at reported PER of 15.2x FY09E and 11.3x FY10E. Maintain Buy," says Motilal Oswal's research report.

Karvy on Syndicate Bank - Target of Rs 71

Karvy Stock Broking has maintained its buy rating on Syndicate Bank with a target of Rs 71 in its November 17, 2008 research report. "In 2QFY09, Syndicate Bank's net interest income grew by 53% (Y/Y) to Rs 7.5 billion. Overall the bank posted good set of numbers; we re-iterate our BUY rating on the stock with a target price of Rs 71," says Karvy Stock Broking's research report.

Anand Rathi on Satyam - Target of Rs 340

Anand Rathi Securities has recommended a buy rating on Satyam Computer Services with a target of Rs 340 in its November 17, 2008 research report. "We initiate coverage on Satyam with a Buy and a target price of Rs 340. We like Satyam because of its low exposure to BFSI (second to Tech Mahindra among peers), low top-client dependency and robust cash flow, says Anand Rathi's research report.

Sunday, January 4, 2009

Stock Views on Indraprastha Gas, Sadbhav Engineering, NTPC

KRChoksey on Indraprastha Gas - Target of Rs 130

KRChoksey Research has recommended a buy rating on Indraprastha Gas with a target price of Rs 130 in its November 13, 2008 research report. "IGL reported net sales of Rs 215.2 crore, up 23.6% Y-o-Y, on the back of increase in volume of CNG by 22.7% and PNG by 26.7% to 117.2 million Kg and 13.3 mmscm respectively. We recommended a BUY on the stock with target price of Rs 130, giving an upside potential of 23%. At the target price the stock would be valued at 9.0x and 7.6x its FY09E & FY10E EPS of Rs 14.5 and Rs 17.0 respectively," says KRChoksey's research report.

Angel Broking on Sadbhav Engineering - Target of Rs 718

Angel Broking has maintained its buy rating on Sadbhav Engineering with a target price of Rs 718 in its November 12, 2008 research report. "For 2QFY2009, Sadbhav Engineering (SEL) reported Net Sales numbers, which were below our expectations. The company registered 22% yoy growth in Net Sales to Rs 124.2 crore (Rs 101.8 crore) as against our expectation of 41% growth at Rs 143 crore. We value, SEL at 6x FY2010E standalone Earnings assigning Rs 430 per share. We value SEL’s portfolio of BOT assets at Rs 399 crore (Rs 420 crore earlier), contributing Rs 288 per share excluding NSEL Annuity project, which we believe has no value while factoring in current increased cost of financing and arrive at a conservative SOTP Target Price of Rs 718 (Rs 1,036). We maintain a Buy on the stock," says Angel's research report.

Hem Securities on NTPC - Target of Rs 183

Hem Securities has initiated a buy rating on NTPC with a target price of Rs 183 in its November 15, 2008 research report. "The company has posted decent results for the quarter ended September 2008. The Net sales have surged to Rs 100911 million with a year over year growth of 25.87 per cent. Presently, the stock is trading at Rs 149 which is at 17.65 times to its earnings and 2.18 times to its book value of Rs 68.49. Since the stock seems to offer extremely good investment opportunities, we initiate a ‘BUY’ signal on the stock with a target price of Rs 183 in medium term investment horizon expecting an appreciation of about 22% from the current level of Rs 149," says Hem's research report.

Saturday, January 3, 2009

KRChoksey views on Hindustan Zinc, Nava Bharat Ventures, Sanwaria Agro Oils

Sanwaria Agro Oils - Target of Rs 45

KRChoksey has recommended a buy rating on Sanwaria Agro Oils with a target of Rs 45 in its report. The geographical benefits which the company enjoys on account of all its plants being located in the state of MP (largest producer of soybean seeds) is a key advantage over its peers. Further, SAOL will benefit from setting up of wind turbine generators which will bring down the operating cost and thus enhance margins by 230bps. We expect the profit margins to improve going forward as interest rates cool down."

"At CMP of Rs 32, the stock is trading at 6.4x FY08 earnings of Rs 4.98. We recommend a “BUY” rating on the stock with a price target of Rs 45 based on our P/E valuation, with an upside potential of 41% from current levels. At the target price, the stock would be valued at 6.6x FY09 EPS of 6.8," says KRChoksey's research report.

Nava Bharat Ventures - Target of Rs 247

KRChoksey Research has maintained its buy rating on Nava Bharat Ventures with a target price of Rs 247 in its November 7, 2008 research report. "Net sales surged by 157.0%(YoY) to Rs 398.3 crore in Q2FY09 against Rs 151.3 crore in Q2FY08. On back of company’s diversified business model, power business initiatives, substantial land value holding at Hyderabad & Secundrabad and improving sugar prices, we maintain our BUY rating on the stock with the target price of Rs 247. Though we are cautious of ferro alloys business slow down, but we believe the concerns are already been discounted heavily in the stock prices," says KRChoksey's research report.

Hindustan Zinc - Target of Rs 504

KRChoksey Research has recommended a buy rating on Hindustan Zinc with a target price of Rs 504 in its November 7, 2008 research report. "Net sales of the company declined from Rs 1,984.0 crore to Rs 1,790.5 crore; negative growth of 9.8% (y-o-y). We recommend a BUY on the stock with a target price of Rs 504," says KRChoksey's research report.

Friday, January 2, 2009

Stock Views on Rallis India, Orchid Chemicals, Welspun Gujarat

Emkay Global on Rallis India - Target of Rs 518

Emkay Global Financial Services has recommended a buy rating on Rallis India with a target of Rs 518 in its November 12, 2008 research report. "The company has shown a consistent growth in the past with improvement in the EBITDA margins, increased number of new launches, improving operational efficiency and increased thrust on exports. We believe that EBITDA margins of 15.5% will be sustainable in future with less pressure from raw material cost due to overall fall in the commodity prices."

"We expect EPS of Rs 52 and Rs 64.8 for FY09E and FY10E. The company also has ‘hidden assets’ like excess land bank and a minority stake in Advinus, one of the finest pharma research organizations in India. Based on this, we are revising our price target to Rs 518 (from Rs 550 earlier) which is 8XFY10E earnings with a BUY rating," says Emkay Global Financial Services' research report.

Reliance Money on Orchid Chemicals - Target of Rs 176

Reliance Money has recommended a buy rating on Orchid Chemicals and Pharmaceuticals with a target of Rs 176 in its November 14, 2008 research report. "Orchid Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals Ltd (Orchid) reported 19% growth in consolidated revenues on a higher base to Rs 3484.5 million during Q2FY09. As per revised estimates, we expect the Revenue and profit (excluding forex loss) would grow at a CAGR of 15% and 16%, respectively during FY08-10E. Thus, the revised EPS (excluding forex loss) stands at Rs 14 and Rs 22.9 for FY09E and FY10E, respectively."

"But the positive part of Orchid is that FCCBs have sufficient time horizon for conversion and the company does not hedge its revenues, which could benefit the company from the weakening Rupee scenario in the near term. In line with our changed estimate based on consolidated numbers and in order to align our valuation with market valuation, we are revising our target price. In fact, to capture the market wide correction in valuations, we have reduced the earning multiple by 35% and revise target price to Rs 176 (i.e. 8x FY10E EPS),Buy," says Reliance Money's research report.

Asit C. Mehta on Welspun Gujarat - Target of Rs 190

Asit C. Mehta has maintained its buy rating on Welspun Gujarat Stahl Roh with a revised target price of Rs 190 in its November 13, 2008 research report. "WGSRL has an order book of USD 2 billion, which provides revenue visibility until FY10. Current orders sufice current capacity. As new capacity becomes operational, the company should attract orders. However, with the current global credit crisis we expect new orders to come in at a slower pace."

"We believe that the company will benefit in the near term on account of the capex it has incurred in the pipes segment. We therefore maintain a positive outlook on the stock and reiterate a “BUY” recommendation with a revised target price of Rs 190, which is equivalent to a P/E multiple of 5 times its FY10E EPS," says Asit C. Mehta's research report.

Thursday, January 1, 2009

Wish you all Happy New Year 2009

Year 2008 has been an action packed one in all respects. It started off with stock market correction in mid January, later it turned out to be a bear market and eroded Billons of dollars of investor money.

By then sleeping giant was awaken, the sub prime. It had cascading effect all walks of the economy only in US nut all across the world. Then came the big investment bank failures. Fed has to Bail out leading mortgage lenders of the country Fannie Me, Freddie Mac. But, worst was yet to come, Lemon Brothers, a hundred year old investment bank went bankrupt.

It was the situation with Merrill Lynch and Morgan Stanley as well. Goldman Sachs was also taken a beating but was slightly better off. Merrill Lynch was acquired by Bank of America. Wachovia acquired by Wells Fargo, Washington Mutual (WaMu ) acquired by JP Morgan. Both Goldman and Morgan were converted to conventional banks. Meanwhile, Warren Buffet, greatest investor that the world has seen also showed confidence in Goldman.

On the other side Worlds largest insurance company AIG (American Insurance Group), has become the victim of sub prime. Stock price was as low as to $1. To life the ailing economy and overcome the sub prime problem US government came up with $700 Billon package. Later it found that it was short by couple of hundreds of Billon dollars. So second bail out package followed soon. Fed was cutting rate to give stimulus to ailing economy.

Mean while across the world there was severe liquidity problem. Credit Tsunami had hit the world and whole world was in shock. Central banks had to cut interest rate to inject liquidity. There was a fear of global recession all central Governments and banks were trying their best to hold situation under control. Central Governments of Germany, France, UK, Switzerland, were coming out with bailout/stimulus package to save the economy. Some of the biggest name like UBS, Credit Suisse, Barclays, HSBC all have become victims of sub prime and credit crunch. Meanwhile, surprisingly China was out with $560 Billion stimulus package to economy. Stock markets were falling day after day.

Metal prices was cooling off, Crude oil price was coming down on the fears of slow down in the global economy and hence the lower consumption. All these lead to lower inflation. With US interest rates going near zero, Deflation worries were looming large.

Stepping into New Year worldwide consumer confidence is multi decade low, Job less claims are at 26 years high, fear of deflation.

What lies ahead in 2009? Hope. Hope of recovery, Hope of job Security, Hope of Peace, Hope of Good life.

New Year is the time to unfold new horizons & realize new dreams, to rediscover the strength & faith within, to rejoice in simple pleasures & gear up for new challenges. Wish all our readers a very happy new year. Wishing you a truly fulfilling 2009. Let year 2009 be filled with Joy, Happiness, Prosperity, Safety & Security.

Have a great New Year ahead & happy investing. Thank you for all your Co-operation and Support.
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